Match center
Start
12.07.2026 06:00 MSK
12.07.2026 06:00 MSK
Finished
IPBL
Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)
61
:
73
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w) 12 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Orenburg (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.45 / 2 1.26
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.4%
1
26.8%
2
73.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.26
Fonbet · line only
1
3.45
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.95
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.38
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.75
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
2.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 135.5
1.46
Fonbet · line only
Over 136.5
1.63
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 +0.5 | 1.38 72.5% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +4.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| П2 -0.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 -10.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| П2 -11.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| П2 -12.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| П2 -3.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| П2 -4.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 -5.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 -6.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| П2 -7.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| П2 -8.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -9.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 135.5 | 1.46 68.5% |
| ТБ 136.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| ТБ 137.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 138.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| ТБ 139.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| ТБ 140.5 | 2.85 35.1% |
| ТБ 141.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 142.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| ТБ 143.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| ТБ 144.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| ТБ 145.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| ТБ 146.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| ТБ 147.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| ТБ 148.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| ТБ 149.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| ТБ 150.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 151.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| ТБ 152.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.45 29.0% |
| П2 | 1.26 79.4% |
Match center
Severodvinsk (w)
W
L
L
Severodvinsk (w)
67:56
Vologda (zh)
Severodvinsk (w)
131:138
Kursk (zh)
Severodvinsk (w)
64:66
Orenburg (zh)
Orenburg (zh)
1
Wins
2
Losses
87.3
Scored
86.7
Conceded
33%
Win percentage
Orenburg (w)
W
L
W
Orenburg (w)
76:67
Kursk (zh)
Orenburg (w)
62:64
Vologda (zh)
Orenburg (w)
66:64
Northodvinsk (zh)
2
Wins
1
Losses
68.0
Scored
65.0
Conceded
67%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historySeverodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)
Severodvinsk (w)
1
matches total
Severodvinsk (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Orenburg (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Orenburg (zh) 64:66 (09.07 06:00 МСК)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
130 goals (64:66, 09.07 06:00 МСК)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Northodvinsk (zh)
64:66
Orenburg (zh)