IPBL
IPBL International
12.07.2026 01:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Surgut - Yakutsk

International Basketball
Surgut
Surgut
100 : 101
Finished
Yakutsk
Yakutsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Surgut - Yakutsk 12 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Yakutsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.00 / 2 1.72

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 46.2%
2 53.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 01:00 UTC
Match center

Surgut - Yakutsk

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 193.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 194.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +1.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +2.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 +3.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +4.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 +5.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -0.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -1.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -10.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -11.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -2.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -3.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -4.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -5.5 1.45 69.0%
П2 -6.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -7.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -8.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -9.5 1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 193.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 194.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 195.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 196.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 197.5 2.23 44.8%
ТБ 198.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 199.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 200.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 201.5 1.40 71.4%
ТБ 202.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 203.5 1.47 68.0%
ТБ 204.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 205.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 206.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 207.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 208.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 209.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 210.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 2.00 50.0%
П2 1.72 58.1%
Match center
Surgut
L W
10.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 107:119 Kurgan
10.07 22:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 109:102 Adler
1 Wins
1 Losses
108.0 Scored
110.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Yakutsk
L L
11.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Yakutsk 99:104 Adler
10.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Yakutsk 87:118 Kurgan
0 Wins
2 Losses
93.0 Scored
111.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySurgut - Yakutsk

Surgut
0 matches total
Yakutsk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history