IPBL International

15.07.2026 04:00 UTC Match prediction

15.07.2026 04:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Tambov (w) - Tomsk (w)

International Basketball

Tambov (w)

106 : 78

Finished

Tomsk (w)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tomsk (w) — 58%

1 · Tambov (w)41.7%

market66%

2 · Tomsk (w) ✓ Прогноз58.3%

market34%

Model estimate: win Tambov (w) 41.7%, win Tomsk (w) 58.3%. Model favourite — Tomsk (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tambov (w) - Tomsk (w) July 15, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tambov (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Tambov (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.70
Glicko: Tambov (w) 41.7% / Tomsk (w) 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%

1 65.9%

2 ✓ Прогноз 34.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.58 ↓ 1.40

Winner 2 2.23 ↑ 2.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.07.2026 04:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Tambov (w) - Tomsk (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 106:78

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Tambov (w) 65.9% 41.7% market favourite

Tomsk (w) 34.2% 58.3% Glicko contrarian

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 41.7% / 58.3% probabilities

Rating 1,392 / 1,615 Tambov (w) / Tomsk (w)

RD 75 / 75 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,242-1,543 / 1,466-1,765 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.70 Fonbet · weak value +57.4% · model 58.3%

1 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 41.7%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 164.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Over 165.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.20 45.5%
	2.03 49.3%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.75 57.1%
	2.07 48.3%
	2.05 48.8%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.00 50.0%
	2.25 44.4%
	2.25 44.4%
	2.30 43.5%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.07 48.3%
	1.87 53.5%
	2.00 50.0%
	2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 164.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 165.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 166.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 167.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 168.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 169.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 170.5	2.03 49.3%
Over 171.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 172.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 173.5	1.52 65.8%
Over 174.5	1.45 69.0%
Over 175.5	1.57 63.7%
Over 176.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 177.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 178.5	2.07 48.3%
Over 179.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 180.5	1.40 71.4%
Over 181.5	1.55 64.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.40 71.4%
	2.70 37.0%

Match center

Tambov (w)

L W L L L

13.07 08:00 UTC IPBL

Tambov (w) 70:79 Yaroslavl (zh)

13.07 05:05 UTC IPBL

Tambov (w) 95:75 Cheboksary (zh)

13.07 04:00 UTC IPBL

Tambov (w) 78:91 Tomsk (zh)

10.07 08:00 UTC IPBL

Tambov (w) 83:84 Yaroslavl (zh)

10.07 05:05 UTC IPBL

Tambov (w) 94:98 Cheboksary (zh)

1 Wins

4 Losses

84.0 Scored

85.4 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Tomsk (w)

W W W L W

13.07 07:05 UTC IPBL

Tomsk (w) 103:100 Cheboksary (zh)

13.07 06:00 UTC IPBL

Tomsk (w) 102:81 Yaroslavl (zh)

13.07 04:00 UTC IPBL

Tomsk (w) 91:78 Tambov (zh)

10.07 07:05 UTC IPBL

Tomsk (w) 89:94 Cheboksary (zh)

10.07 06:00 UTC IPBL

Tomsk (w) 76:73 Yaroslavl (zh)

4 Wins

1 Losses

92.2 Scored

85.2 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyTambov (w) - Tomsk (w)

Tambov (w)

3 matches total

Tomsk (w)

Tambov (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Tomsk (w): 3 (100%)

Biggest win Tambov (zh) 105:89 (10.07 04:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 194 goals (105:89, 10.07 04:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 04:00 UTC IPBL

Tambov (zh)

78:91

Tomsk (zh)

10.07 04:00 UTC IPBL

Tambov (zh)

105:89

Tomsk (zh)

08.07 04:00 UTC IPBL

Tambov (zh)

93:98

Tomsk (zh)