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IPBL
IPBL International
17.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
17.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Tambov (w) - Yaroslavl (w)

International Basketball
Tambov (w)
Tambov (w)
86 : 72
Finished
Yaroslavl (w)
Yaroslavl (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Tambov (w) — 67%

1 · Tambov (w) ✓ Прогноз66.5%
market85%
2 · Yaroslavl (w)33.5%
market15%

Model estimate: win Tambov (w) 66.5%, win Yaroslavl (w) 33.5%. Model favourite — Tambov (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tambov (w) - Yaroslavl (w) July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tambov (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Tambov (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 6.10
  • Glicko: Tambov (w) 66.5% / Yaroslavl (w) 33.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Прогноз 84.8%
2 15.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.43 ↓ 1.03
Winner 2 2.65 ↑ 9.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Tambov (w) - Yaroslavl (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 86:72
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tambov (w) 89.7% 66.5% market and model agree
Yaroslavl (w) 10.3% 33.5%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 66.5% / 33.5% probabilities
Rating 1,704 / 1,321 Tambov (w) / Yaroslavl (w)
RD 133 / 137 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,438-1,969 / 1,047-1,596 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.10 Fonbet · no value · model 33.5%
1 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 66.5%
Total
Over 138.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Over 139.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.63 61.4%
1.75 57.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.57 63.7%
1.58 63.3%
1.65 60.6%
1.52 65.8%
1.72 58.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.63 61.4%
1.93 51.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.63 61.4%
2.05 48.8%
1.93 51.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 138.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 139.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 140.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 141.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 142.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 143.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 144.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 145.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 146.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 147.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 148.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 149.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 150.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 151.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 152.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 153.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 154.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 155.5 2.13 47.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.09 91.7%
6.10 16.4%
Match center
Tambov (w)
W W W W W
17.07 05:05 UTC IPBL
Tambov (w) 90:86 Cheboksary (zh)
17.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Tambov (w) 82:75 Tomsk (zh)
15.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Tambov (w) 103:75 Yaroslavl (zh)
15.07 05:05 UTC IPBL
Tambov (w) 84:80 Cheboksary (zh)
15.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Tambov (w) 106:78 Tomsk (zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
93.0 Scored
78.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Yaroslavl (w)
L L L L W
17.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (w) 78:90 Tomsk (zh)
17.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (w) 80:108 Cheboksary (zh)
15.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (w) 75:103 Tambov (zh)
15.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (w) 83:103 Tomsk (zh)
15.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (w) 79:67 Cheboksary (zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
79.0 Scored
94.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTambov (w) - Yaroslavl (w)

Tambov (w)
3 matches total
Yaroslavl (w)
Tambov (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Yaroslavl (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Tambov (zh) 103:75 (15.07 08:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 178 goals (103:75, 15.07 08:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

15.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Tambov (zh)
103:75
Yaroslavl (zh)
13.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Tambov (zh)
70:79
Yaroslavl (zh)
10.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Tambov (zh)
83:84
Yaroslavl (zh)