Match center
Start
12.07.2026 11:05 UTC
12.07.2026 11:05 UTC
Finished
IPBL
Toliatti (w) - Berezniki (w)
86
:
70
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Toliatti (w) - Berezniki (w) 12 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Toliatti (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.26 / 2 3.45
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.4%
1
73.2%
2
26.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Toliatti (w) - Berezniki (w)
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.45
Fonbet · line only
1
1.26
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.90
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.90
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.80
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
1.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 150.5
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Over 151.5
1.68
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 -0.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 -1.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| П2 -12.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| П2 -13.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 -14.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 -15.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 -16.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| П2 -17.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 -18.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -19.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 -20.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 -21.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| П2 -22.5 | 1.46 68.5% |
| П2 -3.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 -4.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 -5.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -6.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 150.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 151.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 152.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 153.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| ТБ 154.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| ТБ 155.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 156.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| ТБ 157.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| ТБ 158.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| ТБ 159.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| ТБ 160.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 161.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 162.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 163.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| ТБ 164.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТБ 165.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТБ 166.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| ТБ 167.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.26 79.4% |
| П2 | 3.45 29.0% |
Match center
Toliatti (w)
L
L
L
W
Toliatti (w)
79:89
Ekaterinburg (zh)
Ekaterinburg (zh)
Toliatti (w)
102:105
Khimki (zh)
Khimki (zh)
Toliatti (w)
90:95
Berezniki (zh)
Toliatti (w)
88:74
Ekaterinburg (zh)
Ekaterinburg (zh)
1
Wins
3
Losses
89.8
Scored
90.8
Conceded
25%
Win percentage
Berezniki (w)
W
W
W
W
Berezniki (w)
98:83
Khimki (zh)
Khimki (zh)
Berezniki (w)
90:87
Ekaterinburg (zh)
Ekaterinburg (zh)
Berezniki (w)
95:90
Tolyatti (zh)
Berezniki (w)
104:90
Khimki (zh)
Khimki (zh)
4
Wins
0
Losses
96.8
Scored
87.5
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyToliatti (w) - Berezniki (w)
Toliatti (w)
1
matches total
Toliatti (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Berezniki (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Berezniki (zh) 90:95 (09.07 11:05 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
185 goals (90:95, 09.07 11:05 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Tolyatti (zh)
90:95
Berezniki (zh)