IPBL
IPBL International
09.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Toliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (w)

International Basketball
Toliatti (w)
Toliatti (w)
88 : 74
Finished
Ekaterinburg (w)
Ekaterinburg (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (w) 9 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Toliatti (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.13 / 2 5.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 81.9%
2 18.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Toliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (w)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.23 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 167.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 168.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 -1.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -10.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 -13.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -14.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -16.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 -17.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -18.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -19.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -2.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -20.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 -3.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -4.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -5.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -6.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -7.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -8.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -9.5 1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 167.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 168.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 169.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 170.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 171.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 172.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 173.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 174.5 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 175.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 176.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 177.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 178.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 179.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 186.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 187.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 188.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 189.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 190.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.13 88.5%
П2 5.10 19.6%