IPBL
IPBL International
12.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Toliatti (w) - Khimki (w)

International Basketball
Toliatti (w)
Toliatti (w)
105 : 107
Finished
Khimki (w)
Khimki (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toliatti (w) - Khimki (w) 12 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Khimki (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.55 / 2 1.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 36.3%
2 63.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 12.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Toliatti (w) - Khimki (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 167.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 168.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -0.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +0.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +1.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +2.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -0.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -1.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -10.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -11.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -12.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -13.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -2.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -3.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -4.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -5.5 1.48 67.6%
П2 -6.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 -7.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 -8.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -9.5 1.52 65.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 167.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 168.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 169.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 170.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 171.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 172.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 173.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 174.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 175.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 176.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 177.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 178.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 179.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 180.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 181.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 182.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 183.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 184.5 1.63 61.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 2.55 39.2%
П2 1.45 69.0%
Match center
Toliatti (w)
W L L L W
12.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 86:70 Berezniki (zh)
12.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 79:89 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
09.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 102:105 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
09.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 90:95 Berezniki (zh)
09.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 88:74 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
89.0 Scored
86.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Khimki (w)
L L W W L
12.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 77:86 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
12.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 83:98 Berezniki (zh)
09.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 105:102 Tolyatti (zh)
09.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 102:88 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
09.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 90:104 Berezniki (zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
91.4 Scored
95.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToliatti (w) - Khimki (w)

Toliatti (w)
1 matches total
Khimki (w)
Toliatti (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Khimki (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Khimki (zh) 102:105 (09.07 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 207 goals (102:105, 09.07 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

09.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
102:105
Khimki (zh)