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IPBL International
30.07.2026 09:00 UTC
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IPBL

Toliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (zh)

International Basketball
Toliatti (w)
Toliatti (w)
- : -
Not started
Ekaterinburg (zh)
Ekaterinburg (zh)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (zh) July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Toliatti (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 89.7%
2 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Toliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (zh)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 162.5 1.46 Fonbet · line only
Over 163.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.05 48.8%
1.90 52.6%
2.25 44.4%
2.05 48.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.77 56.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.62 61.7%
2.07 48.3%
1.80 55.6%
2.20 45.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.48 67.6%
2.03 49.3%
2.15 46.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 162.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 163.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 164.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 165.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 166.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 167.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 168.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 169.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 170.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 171.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 172.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 173.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 174.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 175.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 176.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 177.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 178.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 179.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
9.00 11.1%
Match center
Toliatti (w)
W W W W W
26.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 101:99 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
26.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 89:80 Berezniki (zh)
26.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 88:84 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
23.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 96:87 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
23.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 92:82 Berezniki (zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
93.2 Scored
86.4 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Ekaterinburg (zh)
L W L W W
26.07 13:05 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (zh) 85:104 Berezniki (zh)
26.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (zh) 99:93 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
26.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (zh) 84:88 Tolyatti (zh)
23.07 13:05 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (zh) 89:85 Berezniki (zh)
23.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (zh) 100:99 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
91.4 Scored
93.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (zh)

Toliatti (w)
3 matches total
Ekaterinburg (zh)
Toliatti (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Ekaterinburg (zh): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Tolyatti (zh) 88:82 (23.07 09:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 172 goals (88:84, 26.07 09:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

26.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
88:84
Ekaterinburg (zh)
23.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
88:82
Ekaterinburg (zh)
19.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
81:87
Ekaterinburg (zh)