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IPBL
IPBL International
31.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Yaroslavl (zh) - Tomsk (w)

International Basketball
Yaroslavl (zh)
Yaroslavl (zh)
85 : 87
Finished
Tomsk (w)
Tomsk (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yaroslavl (zh) - Tomsk (w) July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tomsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.80 / 2 1.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 13.6%
2 86.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Yaroslavl (zh) - Tomsk (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 163.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 164.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.76 56.8%
1.94 51.6%
2.03 49.3%
2.35 42.6%
2.23 44.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.94 51.6%
1.58 63.3%
1.58 63.3%
1.55 64.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.68 59.5%
1.52 65.8%
1.70 58.8%
1.57 63.7%
2.03 49.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 163.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 164.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 165.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 166.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 167.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 168.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 169.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 170.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 171.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 172.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 173.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 174.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 175.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 176.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 177.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 178.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 179.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 180.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.80 14.7%
1.07 93.5%
Match center
Yaroslavl (zh)
W L W L W
31.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (zh) 101:86 Cheboksary (zh)
29.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (zh) 76:88 Tambov (zh)
29.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (zh) 94:85 Tomsk (zh)
29.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (zh) 75:100 Cheboksary (zh)
27.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (zh) 90:83 Tambov (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
87.2 Scored
88.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Tomsk (w)
W L W L W
31.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Tomsk (w) 98:78 Tambov (zh)
29.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Tomsk (w) 85:94 Yaroslavl (zh)
29.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Tomsk (w) 88:81 Tambov (zh)
27.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Tomsk (w) 86:100 Yaroslavl (zh)
27.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Tomsk (w) 89:85 Tambov (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
89.2 Scored
87.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyYaroslavl (zh) - Tomsk (w)

Yaroslavl (zh)
3 matches total
Tomsk (w)
Yaroslavl (zh): 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tomsk (w): 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Yaroslavl (zh) 100:86 (27.07 06:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 186 goals (100:86, 27.07 06:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

29.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (zh)
94:85
Tomsk (zh)
27.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (zh)
100:86
Tomsk (zh)
24.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Yaroslavl (zh)
86:93
Tomsk (zh)