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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 20:10 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 20:10 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Ulan-Ude - Chelyabinsk

International Basketball
Ulan-Ude
Ulan-Ude
92 : 88
Finished
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ulan-Ude — 56%

1 · Ulan-Ude ✓ Прогноз56.3%
2 · Chelyabinsk43.7%

Model estimate: win Ulan-Ude 56.3%, win Chelyabinsk 43.7%. Model favourite — Ulan-Ude.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ulan-Ude - Chelyabinsk 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ulan-Ude.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ulan-Ude. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.18 / 2 4.30
  • Glicko: Ulan-Ude 56.3% / Chelyabinsk 43.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Прогноз 78.5%
2 21.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.38 ↓ 1.04
Победитель П2 2.80 ↑ 8.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 20:10 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Ulan-Ude - Chelyabinsk

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 92:88
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ulan-Ude 89.1% 56.3% market and model agree
Chelyabinsk 10.9% 43.7%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 56.3% / 43.7% probabilities
Rating 1,338 / 1,285 Ulan-Ude / Chelyabinsk
RD 93 / 100 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,153-1,523 / 1,086-1,484 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.30 Fonbet · no value · model 43.7%
1 1.18 Fonbet · no value · model 56.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 178.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 179.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -0.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -1.5 1.46 68.5%
П2 -10.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -11.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 -12.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -13.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -14.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -15.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 -16.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -2.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -3.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -4.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -5.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -6.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 -7.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 -8.5 2.50 40.0%
П2 -9.5 2.20 45.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 178.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 179.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 180.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 181.5 1.40 71.4%
ТБ 182.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 183.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 184.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 185.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 186.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 187.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 188.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 189.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 190.5 2.23 44.8%
ТБ 191.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 192.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 193.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 194.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 195.5 1.93 51.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.18 84.8%
П2 4.30 23.3%
Match center
Ulan-Ude
L L W W L
15.07 18:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude 101:112 Chita
13.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude 76:81 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
13.07 18:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude 103:101 Chita
10.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude 102:94 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
10.07 18:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude 83:85 Chita
2 Wins
3 Losses
93.0 Scored
94.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Chelyabinsk
W W L L L
14.07 19:10 МСК IPBL
Chelyabinsk 96:89 Khabarovsk
13.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Chelyabinsk 81:76 Ulan-Ude
10.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Chelyabinsk 94:102 Ulan-Ude
09.07 23:10 МСК IPBL
Chelyabinsk 89:102 Chita
08.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Chelyabinsk 78:83 Ulan-Ude
2 Wins
3 Losses
87.6 Scored
90.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUlan-Ude - Chelyabinsk

Ulan-Ude
3 matches total
Chelyabinsk
Ulan-Ude: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Chelyabinsk: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Ulan-Ude 102:94 (10.07 20:10 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 196 goals (102:94, 10.07 20:10 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude
76:81
Chelyabinsk
10.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude
102:94
Chelyabinsk
08.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude
83:78
Chelyabinsk