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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 18:10 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 18:10 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Ulan-Ude - Chita

International Basketball
Ulan-Ude
Ulan-Ude
101 : 112
Finished
Chita
Chita
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Chita — 59%

1 · Ulan-Ude41.4%
market15%
2 · Chita ✓ Прогноз58.6%
market85%

Model estimate: win Ulan-Ude 41.4%, win Chita 58.6%. Model favourite — Chita.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ulan-Ude - Chita 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chita.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chita. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / 2 1.09
  • Glicko: Ulan-Ude 41.4% / Chita 58.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 15.2%
2 ✓ Прогноз 84.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.30 ↑ 5.10
Победитель П2 1.55 ↓ 1.13

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 18:10 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Ulan-Ude - Chita

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 101:112
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ulan-Ude 18.1% 41.4%
Chita 81.9% 58.6% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 41.4% / 58.6% probabilities
Rating 1,362 / 1,598 Ulan-Ude / Chita
RD 95 / 109 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,173-1,552 / 1,380-1,815 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 58.6%
1 6.10 Fonbet · no value · model 41.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 191.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 192.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +1.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 +10.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 +11.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +12.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 +13.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +2.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +3.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +4.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 +5.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 +6.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 +7.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +8.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 +9.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -0.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -1.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -2.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -3.5 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 191.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 192.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 193.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 194.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 195.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 196.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 197.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 198.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 199.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 200.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 201.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 202.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 203.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 204.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 205.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 206.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 207.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 208.5 2.40 41.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 6.10 16.4%
П2 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Ulan-Ude
L W W L W
13.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude 76:81 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
13.07 18:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude 103:101 Chita
10.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude 102:94 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
10.07 18:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude 83:85 Chita
08.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude 83:78 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
3 Wins
2 Losses
89.4 Scored
87.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Chita
W L W W W
13.07 21:10 МСК IPBL
Chita 106:99 Khabarovsk
13.07 18:10 МСК IPBL
Chita 101:103 Ulan-Ude
10.07 18:10 МСК IPBL
Chita 85:83 Ulan-Ude
09.07 23:10 МСК IPBL
Chita 102:89 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
08.07 18:10 МСК IPBL
Chita 32:29 Ulan-Ude
4 Wins
1 Losses
85.2 Scored
80.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUlan-Ude - Chita

Ulan-Ude
3 matches total
Chita
Ulan-Ude: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Chita: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Chita 29:32 (08.07 18:10 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 204 goals (103:101, 13.07 18:10 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 18:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude
103:101
Chita
10.07 18:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude
83:85
Chita
08.07 18:10 МСК IPBL
Ulan-Ude
29:32
Chita