IPBL International

14.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

14.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Vladivostok (w) - Kaluga (w)

International Basketball

Vladivostok (w)

83 : 101

Finished

Kaluga (w)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Vladivostok (w) — 53%

1 · Vladivostok (w)53.4%

2 · Kaluga (w)46.6%

Model estimate: win Vladivostok (w) 53.4%, win Kaluga (w) 46.6%. Model favourite — Vladivostok (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vladivostok (w) - Kaluga (w) July 14, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kaluga (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Kaluga (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.90 / 2 1.14
Glicko: Vladivostok (w) 53.4% / Kaluga (w) 46.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 18.9%

2 81.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 2.20 ↑ 4.20

Winner 2 1.60 ↓ 1.19

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Vladivostok (w) - Kaluga (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 83:101

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Vladivostok (w) 22.1% 53.4% Glicko contrarian

Kaluga (w) 77.9% 46.6% market favourite

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 53.4% / 46.6% probabilities

Rating 1,570 / 1,573 Vladivostok (w) / Kaluga (w)

RD 81 / 81 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,408-1,732 / 1,411-1,735 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 46.6%

1 4.90 Fonbet · weak value +161.6% · model 53.4%

Total

Over 180.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Over 181.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.07 48.3%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.63 61.4%
	1.67 59.9%
	1.83 54.6%
	2.13 47.0%
	1.63 61.4%
	1.87 53.5%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.13 47.0%
	1.63 61.4%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.68 59.5%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.43 69.9%
	1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 180.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 181.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 182.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 183.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 184.5	1.48 67.6%
Over 185.5	1.52 65.8%
Over 186.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 187.5	1.38 72.5%
Over 188.5	1.52 65.8%
Over 189.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 190.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 191.5	2.23 44.8%
Over 192.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 193.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 194.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 195.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 196.5	2.13 47.0%
Over 197.5	2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	4.90 20.4%
	1.14 87.7%

Match center

Vladivostok (w)

W W W L W

13.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (w) 94:71 Murino (zh)

12.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (w) 102:91 Norilsk (zh)

12.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (w) 86:77 Kaluga (zh)

10.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (w) 90:105 Norilsk (zh)

09.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (w) 83:75 Murino (zh)

4 Wins

1 Losses

91.0 Scored

83.8 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Kaluga (w)

W W L L W

13.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 105:98 Norilsk (zh)

12.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 89:84 Murino (zh)

12.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 77:86 Vladivostok (zh)

10.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 83:91 Murino (zh)

09.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 36:27 Vladivostok (zh)

3 Wins

2 Losses

78.0 Scored

77.2 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVladivostok (w) - Kaluga (w)

Vladivostok (w)

3 matches total

Kaluga (w)

Vladivostok (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Kaluga (w): 3 (100%)

Biggest win Vladivostok (zh) 86:77 (12.07 15:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 216 goals (112:104, 07.07 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (zh)

86:77

Kaluga (zh)

09.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (zh)

27:36

Kaluga (zh)

07.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (zh)

112:104

Kaluga (zh)