IPBL International

16.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

16.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Vladivostok (w) - Kaluga (w)

International Basketball

Vladivostok (w)

94 : 70

Finished

Kaluga (w)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Kaluga (w) — 60%

1 · Vladivostok (w)39.6%

market90%

2 · Kaluga (w) ✓ Прогноз60.4%

market10%

Model estimate: win Vladivostok (w) 39.6%, win Kaluga (w) 60.4%. Model favourite — Kaluga (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vladivostok (w) - Kaluga (w) July 16, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vladivostok (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Vladivostok (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00
Glicko: Vladivostok (w) 39.6% / Kaluga (w) 60.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 89.7%

2 ✓ Прогноз 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.52 ↓ 1.15

Winner 2 2.35 ↑ 4.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 16.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Vladivostok (w) - Kaluga (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 94:70

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Vladivostok (w) 80.3% 39.6% market favourite

Kaluga (w) 19.7% 60.4% Glicko contrarian

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 39.6% / 60.4% probabilities

Rating 1,512 / 1,805 Vladivostok (w) / Kaluga (w)

RD 179 / 178 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,154-1,869 / 1,450-2,161 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +443.2% · model 60.4%

1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 39.6%

Total

Over 151.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Over 152.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.03 49.3%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.57 63.7%
	2.25 44.4%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.63 61.4%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.75 57.1%
	2.07 48.3%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.46 68.5%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.15 46.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 151.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 152.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 153.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 154.5	1.57 63.7%
Over 155.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 156.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 157.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 158.5	1.52 65.8%
Over 159.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 160.5	1.76 56.8%
Over 161.5	1.35 74.1%
Over 162.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 163.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 164.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 165.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 166.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 167.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 168.5	2.40 41.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.03 97.1%
	9.00 11.1%

Match center

Vladivostok (w)

W L W W W

14.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (w) 87:86 Norilsk (zh)

14.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (w) 83:101 Kaluga (zh)

13.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (w) 94:71 Murino (zh)

12.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (w) 102:91 Norilsk (zh)

12.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (w) 86:77 Kaluga (zh)

4 Wins

1 Losses

90.4 Scored

85.2 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Kaluga (w)

W W W W L

14.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 98:87 Murino (zh)

14.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 101:83 Vladivostok (zh)

13.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 105:98 Norilsk (zh)

12.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 89:84 Murino (zh)

12.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 77:86 Vladivostok (zh)

4 Wins

1 Losses

94.0 Scored

87.6 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVladivostok (w) - Kaluga (w)

Vladivostok (w)

3 matches total

Kaluga (w)

Vladivostok (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Kaluga (w): 3 (100%)

Biggest win Kaluga (zh) 83:101 (14.07 15:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 184 goals (83:101, 14.07 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

14.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (zh)

83:101

Kaluga (zh)

12.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (zh)

86:77

Kaluga (zh)

09.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Vladivostok (zh)

27:36

Kaluga (zh)