IPBL
IPBL International
10.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Vladivostok (w) - Norilsk (w)

International Basketball
Vladivostok (w)
Vladivostok (w)
90 : 105
Finished
Norilsk (w)
Norilsk (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vladivostok (w) - Norilsk (w) 10 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Norilsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.50 / 2 1.08

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 14.2%
2 85.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Vladivostok (w) - Norilsk (w)

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 158.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +1.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 +10.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 +11.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 +12.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +13.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 +14.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 +15.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 +16.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -0.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -1.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -3.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -4.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -5.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -6.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -7.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -8.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -9.5 1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 158.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 159.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 160.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 161.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 162.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 163.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 164.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 165.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 166.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 167.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 168.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 169.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 170.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 171.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 172.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 173.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 174.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 175.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 6.50 15.4%
П2 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Vladivostok (w)
W L W
09.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Vladivostok (w) 83:75 Murino (zh)
09.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Vladivostok (w) 27:36 Kaluga (zh)
07.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Vladivostok (w) 112:104 Kaluga (zh)
2 Wins
1 Losses
74.0 Scored
71.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Norilsk (w)
W W
09.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Norilsk (w) 93:72 Murino (zh)
07.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Norilsk (w) 71:62 Murino (zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
82.0 Scored
67.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage