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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 04:05 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 04:05 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Volgograd - Krasnoyarsk

International Basketball
Volgograd
Volgograd
123 : 119
Finished
Krasnoyarsk
Krasnoyarsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Krasnoyarsk — 61%

1 · Volgograd39.3%
market75%
2 · Krasnoyarsk ✓ Прогноз60.7%
market25%

Model estimate: win Volgograd 39.3%, win Krasnoyarsk 60.7%. Model favourite — Krasnoyarsk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Volgograd - Krasnoyarsk 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Volgograd.

Line favourite Fonbet: Volgograd. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.23 / 2 3.70
  • Glicko: Volgograd 39.3% / Krasnoyarsk 60.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 75.1%
2 ✓ Прогноз 24.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.80 ↓ 1.23
Победитель П2 1.90 ↑ 3.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 04:05 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Volgograd - Krasnoyarsk

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 123:119
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Volgograd 75.1% 39.3% market favourite
Krasnoyarsk 25.0% 60.7% Glicko-противоход
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 39.3% / 60.7% probabilities
Rating 1,410 / 1,689 Volgograd / Krasnoyarsk
RD 71 / 73 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,267-1,553 / 1,543-1,836 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.70 Fonbet · weak value +124.8% · model 60.7%
1 1.23 Fonbet · no value · model 39.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 212.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 213.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -1.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -10.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -11.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -12.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 -13.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -14.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -15.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -16.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -17.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -18.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -2.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 -3.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -4.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -5.5 2.52 39.7%
П2 -6.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 -7.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -8.5 1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 212.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 213.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 214.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 215.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 216.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 217.5 2.23 44.8%
ТБ 218.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 219.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 220.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 221.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 222.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 223.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 224.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 225.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 226.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 227.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 228.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 229.5 1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.23 81.3%
П2 3.70 27.0%
Match center
Volgograd
W L L L L
15.07 02:00 МСК IPBL
Volgograd 125:123 Nizhniy Novgorod
15.07 01:00 МСК IPBL
Volgograd 115:122 Rostov-na-Donu
13.07 04:00 МСК IPBL
Volgograd 108:112 Krasnoyarsk
13.07 02:00 МСК IPBL
Volgograd 87:102 Nizhniy Novgorod
13.07 01:05 МСК IPBL
Volgograd 98:124 Rostov-na-Donu
1 Wins
4 Losses
106.6 Scored
116.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Krasnoyarsk
L W W W W
15.07 03:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 121:122 Rostov-na-Donu
15.07 00:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 115:107 Nizhniy Novgorod
13.07 04:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 112:108 Volgograd
13.07 03:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 107:90 Rostov-na-Donu
13.07 00:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 112:107 Nizhniy Novgorod
4 Wins
1 Losses
113.4 Scored
106.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVolgograd - Krasnoyarsk

Volgograd
2 matches total
Krasnoyarsk
Volgograd: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Krasnoyarsk: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Krasnoyarsk 108:112 (13.07 04:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 220 goals (108:112, 13.07 04:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 04:00 МСК IPBL
Volgograd
108:112
Krasnoyarsk
09.07 04:17 МСК IPBL
Volgograd
95:98
Krasnoyarsk