IPBL
IPBL International
12.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Volgograd - Nizhny Novgorod

International Basketball
Volgograd
Volgograd
87 : 102
Finished
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Volgograd - Nizhny Novgorod 12 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nizhny Novgorod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 10.9%
2 89.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Volgograd - Nizhny Novgorod

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 184.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 185.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 +1.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 +10.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +11.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 +12.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 +13.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 +14.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -0.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -1.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -10.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -2.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -3.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -4.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -5.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -6.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -7.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -8.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -9.5 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 184.5 1.40 71.4%
ТБ 185.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 186.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 187.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 188.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 189.5 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 190.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 191.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 192.5 1.47 68.0%
ТБ 193.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 194.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 195.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 196.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 197.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 198.5 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 199.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 200.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 201.5 2.13 47.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 8.50 11.8%
П2 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Volgograd
L L W L W
12.07 22:05 UTC IPBL
Volgograd 98:124 Rostov-na-Donu
09.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Volgograd 107:108 Nizhniy Novgorod
09.07 22:00 UTC IPBL
Volgograd 122:113 Rostov-na-Donu
09.07 01:17 UTC IPBL
Volgograd 95:98 Krasnoyarsk
07.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Volgograd 136:133 Nizhniy Novgorod
2 Wins
3 Losses
111.6 Scored
115.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Nizhny Novgorod
L W L L L
12.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 107:112 Krasnoyarsk
09.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 108:107 Volgograd
09.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 97:100 Krasnoyarsk
09.07 02:15 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 87:107 Rostov-na-Donu
07.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 133:136 Volgograd
1 Wins
4 Losses
106.4 Scored
112.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVolgograd - Nizhny Novgorod

Volgograd
2 matches total
Nizhny Novgorod
Volgograd: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nizhny Novgorod: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Volgograd 136:133 (07.07 23:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 269 goals (136:133, 07.07 23:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

09.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Volgograd
107:108
Nizhniy Novgorod
07.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Volgograd
136:133
Nizhniy Novgorod