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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 02:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 02:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Volgograd - Nizhny Novgorod

International Basketball
Volgograd
Volgograd
125 : 123
Finished
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Volgograd — 52%

1 · Volgograd51.5%
2 · Nizhny Novgorod48.5%

Model estimate: win Volgograd 51.5%, win Nizhny Novgorod 48.5%. Model favourite — Volgograd.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Volgograd - Nizhny Novgorod 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nizhny Novgorod.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nizhny Novgorod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.90 / 2 1.14
  • Glicko: Volgograd 51.5% / Nizhny Novgorod 48.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 18.9%
2 81.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.10 ↑ 2.55
Победитель П2 1.65 ↓ 1.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 02:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Volgograd - Nizhny Novgorod

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 125:123
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Volgograd 36.3% 51.5% Glicko-противоход
Nizhny Novgorod 63.8% 48.5% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 51.5% / 48.5% probabilities
Rating 1,415 / 1,453 Volgograd / Nizhny Novgorod
RD 73 / 77 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,270-1,561 / 1,299-1,608 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 48.5%
1 4.90 Fonbet · weak value +152.4% · model 51.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 215.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 216.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +1.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 +10.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +11.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +12.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 +13.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 +14.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +15.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 +16.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 +17.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 -0.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -1.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -2.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -3.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -4.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -5.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -6.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -7.5 1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 215.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 216.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 217.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 218.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 219.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 220.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 221.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 222.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 223.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 224.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 225.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 226.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 227.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 228.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 229.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 230.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 231.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 232.5 1.62 61.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 4.90 20.4%
П2 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Volgograd
L L L L L
15.07 01:00 МСК IPBL
Volgograd 115:122 Rostov-na-Donu
13.07 04:00 МСК IPBL
Volgograd 108:112 Krasnoyarsk
13.07 02:00 МСК IPBL
Volgograd 87:102 Nizhniy Novgorod
13.07 01:05 МСК IPBL
Volgograd 98:124 Rostov-na-Donu
10.07 02:00 МСК IPBL
Volgograd 107:108 Nizhniy Novgorod
0 Wins
5 Losses
103.0 Scored
113.6 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Nizhny Novgorod
L L W L W
15.07 00:00 МСК IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 107:115 Krasnoyarsk
13.07 05:00 МСК IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 103:117 Rostov-na-Donu
13.07 02:00 МСК IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 102:87 Volgograd
13.07 00:00 МСК IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 107:112 Krasnoyarsk
10.07 02:00 МСК IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 108:107 Volgograd
2 Wins
3 Losses
105.4 Scored
107.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVolgograd - Nizhny Novgorod

Volgograd
3 matches total
Nizhny Novgorod
Volgograd: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nizhny Novgorod: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Nizhniy Novgorod 87:102 (13.07 02:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 269 goals (136:133, 08.07 02:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 02:00 МСК IPBL
Volgograd
87:102
Nizhniy Novgorod
10.07 02:00 МСК IPBL
Volgograd
107:108
Nizhniy Novgorod
08.07 02:00 МСК IPBL
Volgograd
136:133
Nizhniy Novgorod