IPBL International

15.07.2026 01:00 MSK Match prediction

15.07.2026 01:00 MSK

Finished

IPBL

Volgograd - Rostov-on-Don

International Basketball

Volgograd

115 : 122

Finished

Rostov-on-Don

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Rostov-on-Don — 55%

1 · Volgograd45.1%

2 · Rostov-on-Don54.9%

Model estimate: win Volgograd 45.1%, win Rostov-on-Don 54.9%. Model favourite — Rostov-on-Don.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Volgograd - Rostov-on-Don 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rostov-on-Don.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rostov-on-Don. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.80 / 2 1.10
Glicko: Volgograd 45.1% / Rostov-on-Don 54.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 15.9%

2 84.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 2.40 ↓ 1.67

Победитель П2 1.50 ↑ 2.07

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.07.2026 01:00 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Volgograd - Rostov-on-Don

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 115:122

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Volgograd 55.4% 45.1% market favourite

Rostov-on-Don 44.7% 54.9% Glicko-противоход

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 45.1% / 54.9% probabilities

Rating 1,415 / 1,569 Volgograd / Rostov-on-Don

RD 73 / 73 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,270-1,561 / 1,423-1,715 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 54.9%

1 5.80 Fonbet · weak value +161.9% · model 45.1%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 202.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Over 203.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П2 +0.5	1.70 58.8%
П2 +1.5	1.50 66.7%
П2 +2.5	1.65 60.6%
П2 +3.5	1.87 53.5%
П2 +4.5	1.72 58.1%
П2 +5.5	2.03 49.3%
П2 +6.5	1.94 51.6%
П2 -0.5	1.70 58.8%
П2 -1.5	1.55 64.5%
П2 -10.5	1.50 66.7%
П2 -2.5	2.30 43.5%
П2 -3.5	2.05 48.8%
П2 -4.5	1.85 54.1%
П2 -5.5	1.68 59.5%
П2 -6.5	1.55 64.5%
П2 -7.5	1.63 61.4%
П2 -8.5	1.63 61.4%
П2 -9.5	1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 202.5	1.58 63.3%
ТБ 203.5	1.67 59.9%
ТБ 204.5	1.76 56.8%
ТБ 205.5	1.63 61.4%
ТБ 206.5	1.58 63.3%
ТБ 207.5	1.67 59.9%
ТБ 208.5	1.77 56.5%
ТБ 209.5	1.55 64.5%
ТБ 210.5	1.65 60.6%
ТБ 211.5	1.76 56.8%
ТБ 212.5	1.87 53.5%
ТБ 213.5	2.03 49.3%
ТБ 214.5	1.60 62.5%
ТБ 215.5	1.72 58.1%
ТБ 216.5	1.83 54.6%
ТБ 217.5	1.57 63.7%
ТБ 218.5	1.65 60.6%
ТБ 219.5	1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
П1	5.80 17.2%
П2	1.10 90.9%

Match center

Volgograd

L L L L W

13.07 04:00 МСК IPBL

Volgograd 108:112 Krasnoyarsk

13.07 02:00 МСК IPBL

Volgograd 87:102 Nizhniy Novgorod

13.07 01:05 МСК IPBL

Volgograd 98:124 Rostov-na-Donu

10.07 02:00 МСК IPBL

Volgograd 107:108 Nizhniy Novgorod

10.07 01:00 МСК IPBL

Volgograd 122:113 Rostov-na-Donu

1 Wins

4 Losses

104.4 Scored

111.8 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Rostov-on-Don

W L W L L

13.07 05:00 МСК IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 117:103 Nizhniy Novgorod

13.07 03:00 МСК IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 90:107 Krasnoyarsk

13.07 01:05 МСК IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 124:98 Volgograd

10.07 03:00 МСК IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 101:113 Krasnoyarsk

10.07 01:00 МСК IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 113:122 Volgograd

2 Wins

3 Losses

109.0 Scored

108.6 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVolgograd - Rostov-on-Don

Volgograd

3 matches total

Rostov-on-Don

Volgograd: 1 (33.3%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Rostov-on-Don: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Rostov-na-Donu 98:124 (13.07 01:05 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 258 goals (122:136, 08.07 01:00 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 01:05 МСК IPBL

Volgograd

98:124

Rostov-na-Donu

10.07 01:00 МСК IPBL

Volgograd

122:113

Rostov-na-Donu

08.07 01:00 МСК IPBL

Volgograd

122:136

Rostov-na-Donu