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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 22:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 22:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Voronezh - Moscow

International Basketball
Voronezh
Voronezh
109 : 96
Finished
Moscow
Moscow
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Voronezh — 57%

1 · Voronezh ✓ Прогноз57.1%
2 · Moscow42.9%

Model estimate: win Voronezh 57.1%, win Moscow 42.9%. Model favourite — Voronezh.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Voronezh - Moscow 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Voronezh.

Line favourite Fonbet: Voronezh. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 7.30
  • Glicko: Voronezh 57.1% / Moscow 42.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Прогноз 87.3%
2 12.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.05 ↓ 1.06
Победитель П2 1.68 ↑ 7.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 22:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Voronezh - Moscow

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 109:96
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Voronezh 87.3% 57.1% market and model agree
Moscow 12.7% 42.9%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 57.1% / 42.9% probabilities
Rating 1,455 / 1,387 Voronezh / Moscow
RD 75 / 74 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,305-1,604 / 1,238-1,535 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.30 Fonbet · no value · model 42.9%
1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 57.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 202.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 203.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -1.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -10.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -11.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 -12.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -13.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -14.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -15.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -16.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 -17.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -18.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -19.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -2.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -20.5 1.48 67.6%
П2 -3.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -4.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -5.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -6.5 2.30 43.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 202.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 203.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 204.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 205.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 206.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 207.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 208.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 209.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 210.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 211.5 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 212.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 213.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 214.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 215.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 216.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 217.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 218.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 219.5 1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.06 94.3%
П2 7.30 13.7%
Match center
Voronezh
L L L L W
15.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 98:107 Kaliningrad
15.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 97:101 Plavsk
12.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 87:92 Moskva
12.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 91:94 Kaliningrad
12.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 93:88 Plavsk
1 Wins
4 Losses
93.2 Scored
96.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Moscow
L L W L W
15.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 101:117 Plavsk
15.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 90:102 Kaliningrad
12.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 92:87 Voronezh
12.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 83:90 Plavsk
12.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 100:81 Kaliningrad
2 Wins
3 Losses
93.2 Scored
95.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVoronezh - Moscow

Voronezh
3 matches total
Moscow
Voronezh: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Moscow: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Voronezh 89:83 (10.07 22:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 224 goals (114:110, 08.07 22:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh
87:92
Moskva
10.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh
89:83
Moskva
08.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh
114:110
Moskva