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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 18:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 18:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Voronezh - Plavsk

International Basketball
Voronezh
Voronezh
97 : 101
Finished
Plavsk
Plavsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Voronezh — 50%

1 · Voronezh50.5%
2 · Plavsk49.5%

Model estimate: win Voronezh 50.5%, win Plavsk 49.5%. Model favourite — Voronezh.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Voronezh - Plavsk 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Plavsk.

Line favourite Fonbet: Plavsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.40 / 2 1.17
  • Glicko: Voronezh 50.5% / Plavsk 49.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 21.0%
2 79.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.62 ↓ 1.10
Победитель П2 2.15 ↑ 5.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 18:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Voronezh - Plavsk

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 97:101
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Voronezh 84.1% 50.5% market and model agree
Plavsk 15.9% 49.5%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.5% / 49.5% probabilities
Rating 1,480 / 1,537 Voronezh / Plavsk
RD 76 / 76 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,329-1,632 / 1,385-1,689 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 49.5%
1 4.40 Fonbet · weak value +122.0% · model 50.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 183.5 1.46 Fonbet · line only
Over 184.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -1.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -10.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -11.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 -12.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -13.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -14.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -15.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -16.5 1.57 63.7%
П2 -17.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -18.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -2.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -3.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -4.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -5.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -6.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -7.5 1.57 63.7%
П2 -8.5 1.43 69.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 183.5 1.46 68.5%
ТБ 184.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 185.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 186.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 187.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 188.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 189.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 190.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 191.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 192.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 193.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 194.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 195.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 196.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 197.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 198.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 199.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 200.5 2.07 48.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 4.40 22.7%
П2 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Voronezh
L L W W W
12.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 87:92 Moskva
12.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 91:94 Kaliningrad
12.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 93:88 Plavsk
10.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 89:83 Moskva
10.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 106:92 Kaliningrad
3 Wins
2 Losses
93.2 Scored
89.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Plavsk
W W L W W
12.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 102:82 Kaliningrad
12.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 90:83 Moskva
12.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 88:93 Voronezh
10.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 89:75 Kaliningrad
10.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 106:96 Moskva
4 Wins
1 Losses
95.0 Scored
85.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVoronezh - Plavsk

Voronezh
3 matches total
Plavsk
Voronezh: 3 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Plavsk: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Voronezh 117:99 (08.07 18:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 216 goals (117:99, 08.07 18:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh
93:88
Plavsk
10.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh
96:89
Plavsk
08.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh
117:99
Plavsk