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IPBL
IPBL International
13.07.2026 16:45 MSK Match prediction
13.07.2026 16:45 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Wolves - Kemels

International Basketball
Wolves
Wolves
111 : 118
Finished
Kemels
Kemels
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Wolves — 58%

1 · Wolves ✓ Прогноз58.1%
market29%
2 · Kemels41.9%
market71%

Model estimate: win Wolves 58.1%, win Kemels 41.9%. Model favourite — Wolves.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolves - Kemels 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kemels.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kemels. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.20 / 2 1.30
  • Glicko: Wolves 58.1% / Kemels 41.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Прогноз 28.9%
2 71.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.40 ↑ 3.20
Победитель П2 1.50 ↓ 1.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 16:45 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Wolves - Kemels

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 111:118
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Wolves 28.9% 58.1% Glicko-противоход
Kemels 71.1% 41.9% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 58.1% / 41.9% probabilities
Rating 1,527 / 1,436 Wolves / Kemels
RD 86 / 91 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,355-1,699 / 1,254-1,619 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 41.9%
1 3.20 Fonbet · weak value +85.9% · model 58.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 210.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Over 211.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -1.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -10.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -11.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -12.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -13.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -14.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -15.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -16.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -17.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -18.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -19.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -2.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -3.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -4.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -5.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -6.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -7.5 1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 210.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 211.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 212.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 214.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 215.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 216.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 217.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 218.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 219.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 220.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 221.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 222.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 223.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 224.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 225.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 226.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 227.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 228.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 3.20 31.3%
П2 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Wolves
W L W L W
10.07 21:45 МСК IPBL
Wolves 125:124 Dogs
10.07 16:45 МСК IPBL
Wolves 118:121 Kemels
09.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Wolves 52:44 Kats
08.07 21:45 МСК IPBL
Wolves 100:111 Dogs
07.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Wolves 100:96 Kats
3 Wins
2 Losses
99.0 Scored
99.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Kemels
W L L W L
10.07 16:45 МСК IPBL
Kemels 121:118 Vulvz
09.07 20:30 МСК IPBL
Kemels 111:124 Kats
09.07 19:15 МСК IPBL
Kemels 101:106 Dogs
07.07 20:30 МСК IPBL
Kemels 117:111 Kats
07.07 19:15 МСК IPBL
Kemels 113:114 Dogs
2 Wins
3 Losses
112.6 Scored
114.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWolves - Kemels

Wolves
1 matches total
Kemels
Wolves: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Kemels: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Kemels 118:121 (10.07 16:45 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 239 goals (118:121, 10.07 16:45 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 16:45 МСК IPBL
Vulvz
118:121
Kemels