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Start
11.06.2026 13:20 UTC
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11.06.2026 13:20 UTC
Finished
Israel: Liga Leumit - Playoff
Makkabi Ashdod - Ironi Nakharia
94
:
83
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Makkabi Ashdod - Ironi Nakharia June 11, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Makkabi Ashdod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 5.80
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 11.6%
1
84.5%
2
15.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Makkabi Ashdod
Overall
WWLWW
Net +17.8
Home
WW
Net +26.0
Away
WLWL
Net +9.6
Ironi Nakharia
Overall
LLWWW
Net +17.6
Home
LWWW
Net +22.4
Away
LW
Net +12.2
Team stats
Makkabi Ashdod
Overall · Home/Away
Ironi Nakharia
70.0%H 80.0% · A 60.0%Win %72.5%H 76.2% · A 68.4%
17.8H 26.0 · A 9.6Point differential17.6H 22.4 · A 12.2
92.6H 96.1 · A 89.1Points per game85.8H 89.1 · A 82.2
83.7H 83.1 · A 84.3Conceded77.0H 77.9 · A 76.1
44.9%H 46.3% · A 43.6%FG, %46.5%H 46.4% · A 46.7%
57.5H 60.0 · A 55.01st half72.5H 71.4 · A 73.7
79.5H 79.8 · A 79.3Pace78.6H 79.2 · A 78.0
116.3H 115.6 · A 116.9Offensive rating109.2H 108.3 · A 110.2
105.1H 104.5 · A 105.7Defensive rating98.0H 97.3 · A 98.9
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Makkabi Ashdod
Total (over)
Ironi Nakharia
92.6
Points per game
85.8
70.0%
O 85.5
55.0%
65.0%
O 86.5
55.0%
60.0%
O 87.5
52.5%
60.0%
O 88.5
50.0%
57.5%
O 89.5srednee
45.0%
57.5%
O 90.5
37.5%
50.0%
O 91.5
35.0%
45.0%
O 92.5
32.5%
Over 101.5 - 130.5
Makkabi Ashdod
Total (over)
Ironi Nakharia
7.5%
O 109.5
2.5%
5.0%
O 110.5
2.5%
5.0%
O 111.5
2.5%
2.5%
O 112.5
2.5%
2.5%
O 113.5
2.5%
2.5%
O 114.5
0.0%
2.5%
O 115.5
0.0%
2.5%
O 116.5
0.0%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Makkabi Ashdod 46.0 / Ironi Nakharia 42.8
Makkabi Ashdod
Total (over)
Ironi Nakharia
62.5%
O 42.5
52.5%
50.0%
O 43.5
47.5%
50.0%
O 44.5srednee
47.5%
42.5%
O 45.5
42.5%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Makkabi Ashdod 46.2 / Ironi Nakharia 42.5
Makkabi Ashdod
Total (over)
Ironi Nakharia
67.5%
O 42.5
50.0%
65.0%
O 43.5
47.5%
57.5%
O 44.5srednee
47.5%
52.5%
O 45.5
37.5%
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Match center
Makkabi Ashdod - Ironi Nakharia
Array
Form
2/3
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.80
Fonbet · line only
1
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 147.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Over 148.5
1.53
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 2.07 48.3% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.68 59.5% | |
| 1.52 65.8% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 1.68 59.5% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.43 69.9% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 147.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 148.5 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 149.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 150.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 151.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 152.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 153.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 154.5 | 2.17 46.1% |
| Over 155.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 156.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 157.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
| Over 158.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 159.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 160.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 161.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 162.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 163.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 164.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Bet365 | Bet365 (no latency) | Betcity | Bettery | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.68 59.5% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.75 57.1% | |
| 2.03 49.3% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 5.80 17.2% | 2.13 47.0% |
Match center
Makkabi Ashdod
W
L
Makkabi Ashdod
86:82
Ironi Nakharia
Ironi Nakharia
Makkabi Ashdod
67:71
Otef Darom BC
Otef Darom BC
1
Wins
1
Losses
76.5
Scored
76.5
Conceded
50%
Win percentage
Ironi Nakharia
L
W
W
Ironi Nakharia
82:86
Makkabi Ashdod
Makkabi Ashdod
Ironi Nakharia
97:77
Elitzur Shomron
Ironi Nakharia
82:77
Elitzur Shomron
2
Wins
1
Losses
87.0
Scored
80.0
Conceded
67%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMakkabi Ashdod - Ironi Nakharia
Makkabi Ashdod
1
matches total
Makkabi Ashdod: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Ironi Nakharia: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Makkabi Ashdod 86:82 (08.06 13:25 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
168 goals (86:82, 08.06 13:25 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Makkabi Ashdod
86:82
Ironi Nakharia
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Makkabi Ashdod
Team 2
Ironi Nakharia
Tournament bracket
1/4
(3) Ironi Nakharia
2:0
(8) Ramat Khasharon
1/4
(4) Khapoel Khayfa
streak
(7) Elitzur Shomron
1/4
(5) Makkabi Ashdod
streak
(6) Elitsur Ashkelon
1/4
(2) Maccabi Rehovot
streak
(9) Otef Darom
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