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Italy: Liga A - Playoff
Italy: Liga A - Playoff
11.06.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
11.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Italy: Liga A - Playoff

Olimpiya Milan - Venetsiya

Basketball
Olimpiya Milan
Olimpiya Milan
100 : 80
Finished
Venetsiya
Venetsiya

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Olimpiya Milan - Venetsiya June 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Olimpiya Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 5.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 18.6%
1 83.5%
2 16.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Olimpiya Milan
#340 ptsGP 2820-8
Venetsiya
#438 ptsGP 2819-9

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

3Wins1
75.0%Win %25.0%
85.5Points per game84.0
100.6Offensive rating107.8
98.8Defensive rating109.7
1.5Point differential-1.5
53.3Assists52.5
106.5Rebounds102.8
45.3%3-pointers, %39.8%

Team form

Olimpiya Milan

Coach: Ettore Messina

Overall WWLWW Net +14.3
Home WWW Net +15.8
Away LWW Net +12.6
Venetsiya

Coach: Neven Spahija

Overall WWLWW Net +6.8
Home WWW Net +10.2
Away LWL Net +3.5

Team stats

Olimpiya Milan Overall · Home/Away Venetsiya
72.2%H 79.0% · A 64.7%Win %65.8%H 68.4% · A 63.2%
14.3H 15.8 · A 12.6Point differential6.8H 10.2 · A 3.5
86.7H 88.1 · A 85.2Points per game89.0H 88.1 · A 89.8
79.6H 80.2 · A 78.9Conceded85.5H 83.0 · A 88.1
48.8%H 49.4% · A 48.2%FG, %49.5%H 50.8% · A 48.3%
63.9H 79.0 · A 47.11st half47.4H 52.6 · A 42.1
72.5H 72.2 · A 72.9Pace75.2H 74.8 · A 75.6
119.8H 120.2 · A 119.3Offensive rating117.8H 118.6 · A 117.0
109.9H 110.3 · A 109.5Defensive rating113.3H 114.0 · A 112.5

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Olimpiya Milan Total (over) Venetsiya
86.7 Points per game 89.0
58.3%
O 84.5
73.7%
55.6%
O 85.5
71.1%
50.0%
O 86.5
63.2%
44.4%
O 87.5srednee
55.3%
38.9%
O 88.5
52.6%
38.9%
O 89.5
39.5%
36.1%
O 90.5
34.2%
30.6%
O 91.5
28.9%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Olimpiya Milan Total (over) Venetsiya
2.8%
O 109.5
2.6%
2.8%
O 110.5
2.6%
2.8%
O 111.5
0.0%
2.8%
O 112.5
0.0%
2.8%
O 113.5
0.0%
2.8%
O 114.5
0.0%
2.8%
O 115.5
0.0%
2.8%
O 116.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Olimpiya Milan 44.8 / Venetsiya 44.4

Olimpiya Milan Total (over) Venetsiya
55.6%
O 43.5
52.6%
47.2%
O 44.5srednee
52.6%
44.4%
O 45.5
50.0%
36.1%
O 46.5
36.8%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Olimpiya Milan 42.0 / Venetsiya 44.3

Olimpiya Milan Total (over) Venetsiya
50.0%
O 41.5
55.3%
41.7%
O 42.5
55.3%
36.1%
O 43.5srednee
50.0%
30.6%
O 44.5
50.0%

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Match center
Stadium Unipol Forum (Milan)
Referee Giovannetti G. 🇮🇹 - Grigioni V. 🇮🇹 - Gonella E. 🇮🇹
Start 11.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Olimpiya Milan - Venetsiya

Array

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.64 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Over 163.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.40 41.7%
3.00 33.3%
2.65 37.7%
2.30 43.5%
2.03 49.3%
2.80 35.7%
1.63 61.4%
1.48 67.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.48 67.6%
1.45 69.0%
1.48 67.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%
2.30 43.5%
2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 163.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 164.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 165.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 166.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 167.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 168.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 169.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 170.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 171.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 172.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 173.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 174.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 175.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 176.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 177.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 178.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 179.5 1.48 67.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet Leon
1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.01 99.0% 1.19 84.0%
5.10 19.6% 5.10 19.6% 4.15 24.1% 16.00 6.3% 4.22 23.7%
Match center
Olimpiya Milan
W W L W
05.06 16:00 UTC Italy: Liga A - Playoff
Olimpiya Milan 91:86 BreshiyaBreshiya
03.06 16:00 UTC Italy: Liga A - Playoff
Olimpiya Milan 93:68 BreshiyaBreshiya
31.05 16:00 UTC Italy: Liga A - Playoff
Olimpiya Milan 79:85 BreshiyaBreshiya
29.05 16:00 UTC Italy: Liga A - Playoff
Olimpiya Milan 88:72 BreshiyaBreshiya
3 Wins
1 Losses
87.8 Scored
77.8 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Venetsiya
W W L W W
06.06 16:00 UTC Italy: Liga A - Playoff
Venetsiya 90:83 Virtus BolonyaVirtus Bolonya
04.06 16:00 UTC Italy: Liga A - Playoff
Venetsiya 89:85 Virtus BolonyaVirtus Bolonya
01.06 16:00 UTC Italy: Liga A - Playoff
Venetsiya 79:98 Virtus BolonyaVirtus Bolonya
30.05 16:00 UTC Italy: Liga A - Playoff
Venetsiya 91:83 Virtus BolonyaVirtus Bolonya
26.05 16:00 UTC Italy: Liga A - Playoff
Venetsiya 89:83 TortonaTortona
4 Wins
1 Losses
87.6 Scored
86.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOlimpiya Milan - Venetsiya

Olimpiya Milan
0 matches total
Venetsiya
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Olimpiya Milan
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Venetsiya

Tournament bracket

1/4 (2) Breshiya 3:2 (7) Pallakanestro Trieste
1/4 (3) Olimpiya Milan streak (6) Redzho-Emiliya
1/4 (1) Virtus Bolonya streak (8) Trento
1/4 (4) Venetsiya streak (5) Tortona