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Kazakhstan: Natsionalnaya liga - Playoff

28.05.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction

28.05.2026 12:00 UTC

Finished

Kazakhstan: Natsionalnaya liga - Playoff

Atyrau - Almatinskiy Legion

Basketball

Atyrau

65 : 72

Finished

Almatinskiy Legion

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atyrau - Almatinskiy Legion May 28, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Almatinskiy Legion. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.40 / 2 1.13

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 11.2%

1 20.4%

2 79.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Atyrau

Main outcome Atyrau

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Start 28.05.2026 12:00 UTC

Match center

Atyrau - Almatinskiy Legion

Array

Form 4/3 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 65:72

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.13 Fonbet · line only

1 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 149.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only

Over 152.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.68 59.5%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.88 53.2%
	1.88 53.2%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.05 48.8%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.82 55.0%
	1.82 55.0%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 149.5	1.78 56.2%
Over 152.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 154.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 155.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 156.5	1.88 53.2%
Over 157.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 159.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 160.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 163.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 164.5	1.82 55.0%
Over 165.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 166.5	1.90 52.6%
Under 149.5	1.92 52.1%
Under 152.5	1.77 56.5%
Under 154.5	1.87 53.5%
Under 155.5	1.90 52.6%
Under 156.5	1.82 55.0%
Under 157.5	1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	4.40 22.7%
	1.13 88.5%

Match center

Atyrau

L L W L

27.05 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Natsionalnaya liga - Playoff

Atyrau 74:76 Almatinskiy Legion

24.05 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Natsionalnaya liga - Playoff

Atyrau 76:85 Almatinskiy Legion

23.05 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Natsionalnaya liga - Playoff

Atyrau 85:68 Almatinskiy Legion

19.05 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Natsionalnaya liga - Playoff

Atyrau 87:88 Astana

1 Wins

3 Losses

80.5 Scored

79.3 Conceded

25% Win percentage

Almatinskiy Legion

W W L

27.05 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Natsionalnaya liga - Playoff

Almatinskiy Legion 76:74 Atyrau

24.05 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Natsionalnaya liga - Playoff

Almatinskiy Legion 85:76 Atyrau

23.05 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Natsionalnaya liga - Playoff

Almatinskiy Legion 68:85 Atyrau

2 Wins

1 Losses

76.3 Scored

78.3 Conceded

67% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtyrau - Almatinskiy Legion

Atyrau

3 matches total

Almatinskiy Legion

Atyrau: 1 (33.3%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Almatinskiy Legion: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Atyrau 85:68 (23.05 12:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 161 goals (76:85, 24.05 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

27.05 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Natsionalnaya liga - Playoff

Atyrau

74:76

Almatinskiy Legion

24.05 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Natsionalnaya liga - Playoff

Atyrau

76:85

Almatinskiy Legion

23.05 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Natsionalnaya liga - Playoff

Atyrau

85:68

Almatinskiy Legion

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Atyrau

Data 0 / 0 / 3 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Almatinskiy Legion

Tournament bracket

1/4 Astana streak Atyrau

1/4 115 streak Tobol Kostanay

1/4 Kaspiy Aktau streak Almatinskiy Legion