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China. CDBL
China. CDBL International
15.07.2026 07:40 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 07:40 MSK
Finished

China. CDBL

Ningbo Waves - Fuzhou Guardians

International Basketball
Ningbo Waves
Ningbo Waves
97 : 92
Finished
Fuzhou Guardians
Fuzhou Guardians
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Fuzhou Guardians — 52%

1 · Ningbo Waves47.5%
2 · Fuzhou Guardians52.5%

Model estimate: win Ningbo Waves 47.5%, win Fuzhou Guardians 52.5%. Model favourite — Fuzhou Guardians.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ningbo Waves - Fuzhou Guardians 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fuzhou Guardians.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fuzhou Guardians. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.45 / 2 1.26
  • Glicko: Ningbo Waves 47.5% / Fuzhou Guardians 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 26.8%
2 73.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.58 ↑ 2.25
Победитель П2 2.23 ↓ 1.57

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 07:40 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Ningbo Waves - Fuzhou Guardians

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 97:92
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ningbo Waves 41.1% 47.5%
Fuzhou Guardians 58.9% 52.5% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 47.5% / 52.5% probabilities
Rating 1,441 / 1,550 Ningbo Waves / Fuzhou Guardians
RD 85 / 83 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,271-1,611 / 1,384-1,716 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.26 Fonbet · no value · model 52.5%
1 3.45 Fonbet · weak value +64.0% · model 47.5%
Total
Over 177.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 178.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -1.5 1.70 58.8%
П1 -2.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 +1.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +2.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 +3.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +4.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +5.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 +6.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 +7.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -1.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -2.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -3.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -4.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -5.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -6.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -7.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -8.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -9.5 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 177.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 178.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 179.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 180.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 182.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 183.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 184.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 185.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 186.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 187.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 188.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 189.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 190.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 192.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 193.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 195.5 1.67 59.9%
ТМ 177.5 2.07 48.3%
ТМ 178.5 2.13 47.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 3.45 29.0%
П2 1.26 79.4%
Match center
Ningbo Waves
L W W L
13.07 09:15 МСК China. CDBL
Ningbo Waves 87:94 Shenyan Sigals
13.07 07:47 МСК China. CDBL
Ningbo Waves 110:106 Fuchzhou Gardians
09.07 09:05 МСК China. CDBL
Ningbo Waves 103:87 Shenyan Sigals
09.07 07:40 МСК China. CDBL
Ningbo Waves 90:92 Fuchzhou Gardians
2 Wins
2 Losses
97.5 Scored
94.8 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Fuzhou Guardians
W L L W
13.07 10:40 МСК China. CDBL
Fuzhou Guardians 102:97 Shenyan Sigals
13.07 07:47 МСК China. CDBL
Fuzhou Guardians 106:110 Ninbo Ueyvs
09.07 10:30 МСК China. CDBL
Fuzhou Guardians 106:112 Shenyan Sigals
09.07 07:40 МСК China. CDBL
Fuzhou Guardians 92:90 Ninbo Ueyvs
2 Wins
2 Losses
101.5 Scored
102.3 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNingbo Waves - Fuzhou Guardians

Ningbo Waves
2 matches total
Fuzhou Guardians
Ningbo Waves: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fuzhou Guardians: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Ninbo Ueyvs 110:106 (13.07 07:47 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 216 goals (110:106, 13.07 07:47 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 07:47 МСК China. CDBL
Ninbo Ueyvs
110:106
Fuchzhou Gardians
09.07 07:40 МСК China. CDBL
Ninbo Ueyvs
90:92
Fuchzhou Gardians