China. Women's. National Championship
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Hefei Culture and Tourism (w) — 81%
Pure model vs market (2 · Hefei Culture and Tourism (w)): model 64% · market 92% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Xinjiang Magic Deer (w) 19.3%, win Hefei Culture and Tourism (w) 80.7%. Model favourite — Hefei Culture and Tourism (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hefei Culture and Tourism (w).
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | — | 1.83 54.6% | |
| — | — | 1.88 53.2% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 1.82 55.0% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 1.88 53.2% | |
| — | — | 1.88 53.2% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 125.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 126.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 127.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 128.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 129.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 131.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 132.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 133.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 134.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 135.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 136.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 137.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 138.5 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 139.5 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| Under 137.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.00 20.0% | 4.70 21.3% | 11.00 9.1% | |
| 1.10 90.9% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
Xinjiang Magic Deer (w)
Hefei Culture and Tourism (w)
Full head-to-head historyXinjiang Magic Deer (w) - Hefei Culture and Tourism (w)
The Xinjiang Magic Deer (w) - Hefei Culture and Tourism (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
