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Lega A Basket
Lega A Basket Italy
10.05.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Lega A Basket

Italy

Virtus Bologna - Openjobmetis Varese

Italy Basketball
Virtus Bologna
Virtus Bologna
104 : 85
Finished
Openjobmetis Varese
Openjobmetis Varese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Virtus Bologna - Openjobmetis Varese May 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Virtus Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Segafredo Arena (Bolonya)
Referee Rossi M. 🇮🇹 - Sahin T. O. 🇮🇹 - Lucotti M. 🇮🇹
Start 10.05.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Virtus Bologna - Openjobmetis Varese

Array

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 167 1.82 market consensus · line only
Over 167.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.4%
— 2.01 49.8%
1.85 54.1% —
— 1.96 51.2%
— 1.86 53.9%
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.9%
— 1.81 55.4%
1.85 54.1% —
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.95 51.4%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.81 55.3%
— 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 168.5 — 1.88 53.2%
Over 169.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 170.5 1.85 54.1% 1.71 58.5%
Over 171.25 — 1.83 54.6%
Over 171.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 172 1.85 54.1% —
Over 174.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 176.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 182.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 183.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 186.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 189.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 190.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 191.5 — 1.98 50.5%
Under 170.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 172 1.85 54.1% —
Under 186.5 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
1.01 99.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.24 81.0% 1.00 99.6% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.1%
11.00 9.1% 4.14 24.2% 13.00 7.7% 4.00 25.0% 21.00 4.8% 30.00 3.3% 17.00 5.9% 10.65 9.4% 15.75 6.4%
Match center
Virtus Bologna
W W W
03.05 15:00 UTC Lega A Basket
Virtus Bologna 80:73 Banco di Sardegna Sassari
26.04 16:30 UTC Lega A Basket
Virtus Bologna 95:81 Pallacanestro Trieste
13.04 18:00 UTC Lega A Basket
Virtus Bologna 89:79 Pallacanestro Cantù
3 Wins
0 Losses
88.0 Scored
77.7 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Openjobmetis Varese
W W
26.04 15:00 UTC Lega A Basket
Openjobmetis Varese 84:75 Vanoli Basket Cremona
12.04 15:30 UTC Lega A Basket
Openjobmetis Varese 91:90 Banco di Sardegna Sassari
2 Wins
0 Losses
87.5 Scored
82.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage