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Liga ACB
Liga ACB Spain
09.05.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
09.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Liga ACB

Spain

Barça Basket - Hereda San Pablo Burgos

Spain Basketball
Barça Basket
Barça Basket
91 : 76
Finished
Hereda San Pablo Burgos
Hereda San Pablo Burgos

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barça Basket - Hereda San Pablo Burgos May 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Barça Basket. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Barça Basket - Hereda San Pablo Burgos

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.93 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 167.5 1.89 Fonbet · line only
Over 168.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
1.90 52.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.83 54.6% —
1.83 54.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.95 51.3% —
— 1.92 52.1%
1.91 52.4% —
1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.4%
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.77 56.5% —

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 168.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Over 169 1.83 54.6% —
Over 169.5 — 1.94 51.7%
Over 170.5 — 1.74 57.6%
Over 171.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 172.5 — 1.98 50.5%
Over 176 1.93 51.8% —
Over 178 1.85 54.1% —
Over 181.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 183 1.85 54.1% —
Over 185 1.85 54.1% —
Under 169 1.85 54.1% —
Under 171.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 176 1.85 54.1% —
Under 178 1.85 54.1% —
Under 181.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 183 1.83 54.6% —
Under 185 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
1.01 99.0% 1.16 86.4% 1.01 99.0% 1.10 90.9% 1.00 99.6% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.11 90.1%
11.00 9.1% 5.61 17.8% 12.00 8.3% 7.00 14.3% 21.00 4.8% 16.00 6.3% 17.00 5.9% 10.55 9.5% 6.55 15.3%
Match center
Barça Basket
W W W
03.05 17:00 UTC Liga ACB
Barça Basket 91:69 Dreamland Gran Canaria
26.04 10:15 UTC Liga ACB
Barça Basket 95:92 Kosner Baskonia
12.04 15:00 UTC Liga ACB
Barça Basket 90:61 Surne Bilbao Basket
3 Wins
0 Losses
92.0 Scored
74.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Hereda San Pablo Burgos
W W L
02.05 19:00 UTC Liga ACB
Hereda San Pablo Burgos 99:91 Força Lleida CE
26.04 15:00 UTC Liga ACB
Hereda San Pablo Burgos 101:94 ManresaManresa
12.04 17:00 UTC Liga ACB
Hereda San Pablo Burgos 78:94 Real MadridReal Madrid
2 Wins
1 Losses
92.7 Scored
93.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage