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Liga ACB
Liga ACB Spain
10.05.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Liga ACB

Spain

Força Lleida CE - Surne Bilbao Basket

Spain Basketball
Força Lleida CE
Força Lleida CE
90 : 81
Finished
Surne Bilbao Basket
Surne Bilbao Basket

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Força Lleida CE - Surne Bilbao Basket May 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Força Lleida CE. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 6.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 85.6%
2 14.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Pavelló Barris Nord (Leyda)
Referee Peruga C. 🇪🇸 - Sanchez Sixto A. 🇪🇸 - Mendoza E. 🇪🇸
Attendance 5 722
Start 10.05.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Força Lleida CE - Surne Bilbao Basket

Array

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 167.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Over 168.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
1.90 52.6% —
1.93 51.8% —
1.93 51.8% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.77 56.5% —
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.86 53.9%
— 1.98 50.5%
1.85 54.1% —
— 1.88 53.2%
— 1.94 51.4%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.95 51.4%
— 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% —

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 167.5 — 1.91 52.5%
Over 168.5 — 1.78 56.3%
Over 171.5 — 1.92 52.1%
Over 174.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
Over 175 1.91 52.4% —
Over 175.5 — 1.88 53.2%
Over 178.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Over 182.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 183 1.85 54.1% —
Over 183.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 188.5 — 1.95 51.4%
Over 190.5 — 1.91 52.4%
Over 193.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 174.5 1.93 51.8% —
Under 175 1.90 52.6% —
Under 183 1.85 54.1% —
Under 193.5 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
1.38 72.5% 1.90 52.8% 1.04 96.2% 1.00 99.6% 1.08 92.6% 2.20 45.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.89 52.9%
2.80 35.7% 1.95 51.4% 9.00 11.1% 18.00 5.6% 7.50 13.3% 16.00 6.3% 17.00 5.9% 10.31 9.7% 1.90 52.6%
Match center
Força Lleida CE
L L
02.05 19:00 UTC Liga ACB
Força Lleida CE 91:99 Hereda San Pablo Burgos
11.04 16:00 UTC Liga ACB
Força Lleida CE 91:107 Basket Zaragoza
0 Wins
2 Losses
91.0 Scored
103.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Surne Bilbao Basket
W L
03.05 10:30 UTC Liga ACB
Surne Bilbao Basket 88:83 Fundación CB Granada
12.04 15:00 UTC Liga ACB
Surne Bilbao Basket 61:90 Barça Basket
1 Wins
1 Losses
74.5 Scored
86.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage