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Liga ACB
Liga ACB Spain
09.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Liga ACB

Spain

Mursiya - Bàsquet Girona

Spain Basketball
Mursiya
Mursiya
86 : 75
Finished
Bàsquet Girona
Bàsquet Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mursiya - Bàsquet Girona May 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mursiya. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Mursiya - Bàsquet Girona

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.09 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 161.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 162.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
1.95 51.4%
1.92 52.1%
1.92 52.1%
1.92 52.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.86 53.9%
1.88 53.2%
1.88 53.2%
1.88 53.2%
1.92 52.1%
1.98 50.5%
1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.2%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.8%
1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 163.5 2.01 49.8%
Over 164.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 170.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 171.5 1.95 51.4%
Over 172.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 174.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 175.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 176 1.91 52.4%
Over 176.5 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1%
Over 177 1.93 51.8%
Over 178.5 1.91 52.4%
Over 179 1.91 52.4%
Under 176 1.90 52.6%
Under 176.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 177 1.85 54.1%
Under 178.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 179 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
1.22 81.8% 1.26 79.1% 1.01 99.5% 1.00 99.6% 1.00 99.6% 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.2%
4.20 23.8% 3.99 25.1% 13.00 7.7% 18.00 5.6% 21.00 4.8% 16.00 6.3% 17.00 5.9% 12.48 8.0% 16.03 6.2%
Match center
Mursiya
L W
03.05 10:00 UTC Liga ACB
Mursiya 123:131 Real MadridReal Madrid
12.04 10:30 UTC Liga ACB
Mursiya 107:91 Fundación CB Granada
1 Wins
1 Losses
115.0 Scored
111.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Bàsquet Girona
W L
02.05 16:30 UTC Liga ACB
Bàsquet Girona 90:81 Basket Zaragoza
11.04 18:00 UTC Liga ACB
Bàsquet Girona 94:97 La Laguna Tenerife
1 Wins
1 Losses
92.0 Scored
89.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMursiya - Bàsquet Girona

Mursiya
0 matches total
Bàsquet Girona
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history