PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Liga ACB
Liga ACB Spain
10.05.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Liga ACB

Spain

Real Madrid - Río Breogán

Spain Basketball
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
97 : 101
Finished
Río Breogán
Río Breogán

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Río Breogán May 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Río Breogán. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.25 / 2 1.14

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 17.8%
2 82.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Stadium Movistar Arena (Madrid)
Referee Cortes C. 🇪🇸 - Zamorano Sanchez R. 🇪🇸 - Chueca A. 🇪🇸
Attendance 6 010
Start 10.05.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Real Madrid - Río Breogán

Array

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1 5.25 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.73 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 171.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Over 172 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet
2.00 50.0%
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.91 52.4%
1.73 57.9%
1.85 54.1%
1.93 51.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome 10Bet
Over 172 1.85 54.1%
Over 178.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 180.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 181 1.91 52.4%
Over 181.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 182.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 183.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 184.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 186.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 191.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 172 1.85 54.1%
Under 178.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 180.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 181 1.90 52.6%
Under 181.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 182.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 183.5 1.91 52.4%
Under 184.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
8.00 12.5% 1.12 89.3% 3.25 30.8% 4.50 22.2% 12.00 8.3% 1.66 60.2% 2.65 37.7% 12.61 7.9% 1.08 92.6%
1.05 95.2% 6.71 14.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.17 85.8% 1.03 97.1% 2.05 48.8% 1.44 69.4% 10.36 9.7% 8.00 12.5%
Match center
Real Madrid
W W
03.05 10:00 UTC Liga ACB
Real Madrid 131:123 MursiyaMursiya
12.04 17:00 UTC Liga ACB
Real Madrid 94:78 Hereda San Pablo Burgos
2 Wins
0 Losses
112.5 Scored
100.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Río Breogán
L W L
03.05 16:00 UTC Liga ACB
Río Breogán 84:112 Kosner Baskonia
26.04 10:00 UTC Liga ACB
Río Breogán 93:86 Joventut Badalona
11.04 17:00 UTC Liga ACB
Río Breogán 97:99 Morabank AndorraMorabank Andorra
1 Wins
2 Losses
91.3 Scored
99.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage