Liga de Assenso
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Lagomar — 62%
Pure model vs market (1 · Lagomar): model 57% · market 62% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Lagomar 62.0%, win Marne 38.0%. Model favourite — Lagomar.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.86 53.8% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.81 55.3% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 146.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 147.5 | — | 1.81 55.3% |
| Over 148.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 149.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 150.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Over 151.5 | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Over 152.5 | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Over 153.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 146.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 148.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 149.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 150.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 151.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 152.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 153.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.49 67.1% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.47 68.0% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.51 39.8% |
Lagomar
Kolon
Larre Borzhes
Verdirroyo
Marne
Montevideo BK
Sayago
Olivol Mundial
Full head-to-head historyLagomar - Marne
The Lagomar - Marne breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
