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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Not started

Liga de Assenso

Larre Borges - Olivol Mundial

International Basketball
Larre Borges
Larre Borges
- : -
Not started
Olivol Mundial
Olivol Mundial

Larre Borges face Olivol Mundial on August 4, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Larre Borges 2-0-3, Olivol Mundial 0-0-5. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Larre Borges68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Larre Borges): model 60% · market 68% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Larre Borges ✓ Pick67.7%
market68%
2 · Olivol Mundial32.3%
market32%

Model estimate: win Larre Borges 67.7%, win Olivol Mundial 32.3%. Model favourite — Larre Borges.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Larre Borges (odds1.35) Score 82:78 Over 149.5 (odds1.82) Handicap H2 +6.5 (odds1.85) confidence 60%
  • Larre Borzhes: forma PVPVP (2-3)
  • Olivol Mundial: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • Model backs Larre Borzhes: probability 60% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.35)
  • no edge over the line (-14 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Over 149.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 149.5 (odds 1.82)
  • Handicap F2 +6.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Larre Borges - Olivol Mundial August 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Larre Borges. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 68.2%
2 31.8%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.35 → 1.35
Winner P2 2.95 → 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Larre Borges
#7GP 83-5PPG 78.8OPP 81.2
Olivol Mundial
#8GP 83-5PPG 69.2OPP 76.5

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 68.6% @ 1.35 / 2 31.4% @ 2.95
Form 6 matches
Match center

Larre Borges - Olivol Mundial

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Larre Borges 68.2% 67.7% market and model agree
Olivol Mundial 31.8% 32.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 67.7% / 32.3% probabilities
Rating 1,171 / 883 Larre Borges / Olivol Mundial
RD 180 / 219 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 810-1,531 / 445-1,322 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · no value · model 32.3%
1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 67.7%
Total
Over 149.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 150 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 149.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%
Over 150 1.83 54.6%
Under 149.5 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
Under 150 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5%
2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9% 2.90 34.5%
Match center
Larre Borges
L W L W L
25.07 23:30 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 81:84 VerdirroyoVerdirroyo
24.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 86:83 Deportivo Albatros
21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 73:77 VerdirroyoVerdirroyo
16.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 77:63 LagomarLagomar
13.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 85:103 Montevideo BKMontevideo BK
2 Wins
3 Losses
80.4 Scored
82.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Olivol Mundial
L L L L L
27.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olivol Mundial 70:78 Truvill
24.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olivol Mundial 64:76 VerdirroyoVerdirroyo
21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olivol Mundial 58:61 OlimpiyaOlimpiya
17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olivol Mundial 55:74 TabareTabare
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olivol Mundial 54:72 StokolmoStokolmo
0 Wins
5 Losses
60.2 Scored
72.2 Conceded
0% Win percentage