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AI verdict

AI pick Marne win probability ~62% confidence High best odds 1.50

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Marne. Full breakdown below.

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League de Assenso
League de Assenso International
28.08.2026 23:15 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
28.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Not started

League de Assenso

Marne vs Colon — Basketball prediction

International Basketball
Marne
Marne
- : -
Not started
Colon
Colon

Marne face Colon on August 28, 2026 in the League de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Marne 2-0-3, Colon 1-0-4. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Marne — 62%

1 · Marne ✓ Pick62.4%
market 63%
2 · Colon37.6%
market 38%

Model estimate: win Marne 62.4%, win Colon 37.6%. Model favourite — Marne.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marne - Colon August 28, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Marne. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 5 books · best price +2.0%
1 ✓ Pick 62.5%
2 37.5%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.50 → 1.50
Winner P2 2.42 → 2.42

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Marne
63%
1.50
Colon
37%
2.62
Total
Over 157.5
50%
1.85
Under 157.5
50%
1.87

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 61.7% @ 1.50 / 2 38.3% @ 2.42
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Marne 62%
💹 Market Marne 63%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Marne - Colon

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Marne 62.5% 62.4% market and model agree
Colon 37.5% 37.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 62.4% / 37.6% probabilities
Rating 1,255 / 964 Marne / Colon
RD 168 / 161 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 919-1,590 / 643-1,286 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 Fonbet · no value · model 37.6%
1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 62.4%
Total
Over 157.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 158 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon Pinnacle
1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%
1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% — 1.88 53.2% —
— — 1.85 54.1% — —
— — — — 1.89 52.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon Pinnacle
Over 157.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% — —
Over 158 — — — 1.86 53.8% —
Over 158.5 — — — — 1.95 51.2%
Under 157.5 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% — —
Under 158 — — — 1.81 55.3% —
Under 158.5 — — — — 1.79 55.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon Pinnacle
1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.6%
2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.42 41.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2%
Match center
Marne
L W L W L
2026-08-23 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
Marne Olivol Mundial 80:67 Marne
2026-08-18 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
Marne Marne 76:68 Deportivo Albatros
2026-08-11 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
Marne Marne 84:94 Larre Borges
2026-08-05 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
Marne Montevideo Basket Club 82:90 Marne
2026-07-29 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Marne Lagomar 82:70 Marne
2 Wins
3 Losses
77.4 Scored
81.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Colon
L L L W L
2026-08-22 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
Colon 86:93 Montevideo Basket Club Colon
2026-08-18 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
Larre Borges 101:87 Colon Colon
2026-08-13 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
Olivol Mundial 83:72 Colon Colon
2026-08-10 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
Colon 74:73 Deportivo Albatros Colon
2026-07-29 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Larre Borges 83:62 Colon Colon
1 Wins
4 Losses
76.2 Scored
86.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage

More predictions

Deportivo Albatros – Olivol Mundial 28.08 Lagomar – Stockolmo 28.08 I-Shou Univ – Chien Hsin Univ of Science and Tech 28.08 Univ of Taipei – National Taiwan Univ of Arts 28.08 Iran – New Zealand 28.08 National Taiwan Normal Univ – Fu Jen Catholic Univ 28.08

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Marne vs Colon?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Marne. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Marne vs Colon?

Live odds for Marne vs Colon from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Marne vs Colon start?

August 28, 2026.