Liga de Assenso
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Montevideo Basket Club — 80%
Pure model vs market (1 · Montevideo Basket Club): model 57% · market 92% Δ −35 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Montevideo Basket Club 80.2%, win Colon 19.8%. Model favourite — Montevideo Basket Club.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Montevideo Basket Club.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| — | — | 2.05 48.8% | |
| — | — | 2.15 46.5% | |
| — | — | 2.10 47.6% | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | — | 1.87 53.5% | |
| — | — | 2.15 46.5% | |
| — | — | 2.15 46.5% | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | — | 2.25 44.4% | |
| — | — | 2.15 46.5% | |
| — | — | 1.95 51.3% | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 154.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 155.5 | — | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 156.5 | — | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| Over 157.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 158.5 | — | — | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 159.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 160.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 161.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 162.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 163.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 164.5 | — | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 165.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| Under 163.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 164.5 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.12 89.3% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.11 90.1% | |
| 5.10 19.6% | 4.90 20.4% | 11.00 9.1% | 5.50 18.2% |
Montevideo Basket Club
Larre Borzhes
Lagomar
Colon
Sayago
Olivol Mundial
Full head-to-head historyMontevideo Basket Club - Colon
The Montevideo Basket Club - Colon breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
