PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
14.07.2026 02:15 MSK Match prediction
14.07.2026 02:15 MSK
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Montevideo Basket Club - Larre Borges

International Basketball
Montevideo Basket Club
Montevideo Basket Club
103 : 85
Finished
Larre Borges
Larre Borges
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Larre Borges — 55%

Pure model vs market (2 · Larre Borges): model 48% · market 13% Δ +35 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Montevideo Basket Club44.9%
2 · Larre Borges55.1%

Model estimate: win Montevideo Basket Club 44.9%, win Larre Borges 55.1%. Model favourite — Larre Borges.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Larre Borges (odds1.72) confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Montevideo Basket Club - Larre Borges 14 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Montevideo Basket Club.

Line favourite Fonbet: Montevideo Basket Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 6.70
  • Glicko: Montevideo Basket Club 44.9% / Larre Borges 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.1%
1 86.6%
2 13.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.07 ↓ 1.04
Победитель П2 1.67 ↑ 6.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Montevideo Basket Club
#9GP 82-6PPG 83.2OPP 88.0
Larre Borges
#7GP 83-5PPG 78.8OPP 81.2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:7/7 ready

Google AI updated14.07.2026 03:11 MSK
1 44%
2 56% ✓ favourite
Score76:80 Total points: ТБ 156.5 Bet:П2
Per AI data Form:LLLLW / WLWLW
DeepSeek updated14.07.2026 03:11 MSK
1 28%
2 72% ✓ favourite
Score81:92 Total points: ТБ 164.5 Bet:П2 с форой (-5.5) и ТБ 164.5
ChatGPT updated14.07.2026 03:15 MSK
1 44%
2 56% ✓ favourite
Score78:83 Total points: ТМ 166.5 Bet:ТМ 166.5 очка
Claude updated14.07.2026 03:19 MSK
1 44%
2 56% ✓ favourite
Score82:88 Total points: ТМ 174.5 Bet:П2 (победа
Qwen updated14.07.2026 03:14 MSK
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score78:86 Total points: ТМ 170.5 Bet:П2 (победа Ларре Боржес)
Kimi updated14.07.2026 03:22 MSK
1 52% ✓ favourite
2 48%
Score86:82 Total points: ТБ 165.5 Bet:П1 Монтевидео БК @ 2.10
GLM 5.2 updated14.07.2026 03:23 MSK
1 48%
2 52% ✓ favourite
Score88:92 Total points: ТМ 166.5 Bet:П2 (Победа Ларре Боржес)

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 44% 56% 76:80 ТБ 156.5 П2
DeepSeek 28% 72% 81:92 ТБ 164.5 П2 с форой (-5.5) и ТБ 164.5
ChatGPT 44% 56% 78:83 ТМ 166.5 ТМ 166.5 очка
Claude 44% 56% 82:88 ТМ 174.5 П2 (победа
Qwen 38% 62% 78:86 ТМ 170.5 П2 (победа Ларре Боржес)
Kimi 52% 48% 86:82 ТБ 165.5 П1 Монтевидео БК @ 2.10
GLM 5.2 48% 52% 88:92 ТМ 166.5 П2 (Победа Ларре Боржес)

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 02:15 MSK
Form 3 matches
Match center

Montevideo Basket Club - Larre Borges

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 103:85
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Montevideo Basket Club 44.3% 44.9%
Larre Borges 55.7% 55.1% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 44.9% / 55.1% probabilities
Rating 1,839 / 1,119 Montevideo Basket Club / Larre Borges
RD 291 / 258 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,257-2,421 / 602-1,635 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.70 Fonbet · weak value +269.2% · model 55.1%
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 44.9%
Total
Over 164.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 165.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +2.5 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8% —
П2 -1.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
П2 -10.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
П2 -11.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
П2 -12.5 — — 2.18 45.9%
П2 -13.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
П2 -14.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
П2 -15.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
П2 -16.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
П2 -17.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
П2 -18.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
П2 -19.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
П2 -2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.58 63.3%
П2 -20.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
П2 -21.5 — — 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 164.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 165.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 166.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 167.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 168.5 — — 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 169.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 170.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 171.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 172.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 173.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 174.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 175.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 176.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 177.5 — — 1.72 58.1%
ТМ 166.5 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 1.04 96.2% 2.07 48.3%
П2 1.63 61.4% 1.64 61.0% 6.70 14.9% 1.68 59.5%
Match center
Montevideo Basket Club
W
11.07 02:15 МСК Liga de Assenso
Montevideo Basket Club 73:66 LagomarLagomar
1 Wins
0 Losses
73.0 Scored
66.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Larre Borges
L L
11.07 03:30 МСК Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 71:75 Urupan De Pando
08.07 02:15 МСК Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 60:77 SayagoSayago
0 Wins
2 Losses
65.5 Scored
76.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage