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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
05.08.2026 23:15 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Not started

Liga de Assenso

Montevideo Basket Club - Marne

International Basketball
Montevideo Basket Club
Montevideo Basket Club
- : -
Not started
Marne
Marne

Montevideo Basket Club meet Marne on August 5, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Montevideo Basket Club 5-0-0, Marne 1-0-4. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Montevideo Basket Club — 76%

Pure model vs market (1 · Montevideo Basket Club): model 65% · market 76% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Montevideo Basket Club ✓ Pick75.6%
market76%
2 · Marne24.4%
market24%

Model estimate: win Montevideo Basket Club 75.6%, win Marne 24.4%. Model favourite — Montevideo Basket Club.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Montevideo Basket Club - Marne August 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Montevideo Basket Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.21 / 2 3.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 76.4%
2 23.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.21 → 1.21
Winner P2 3.90 → 3.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 76.3% @ 1.21 / 2 23.7% @ 3.90
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Montevideo Basket Club - Marne

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Montevideo Basket Club 76.4% 75.6% market and model agree
Marne 23.6% 24.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 75.6% / 24.4% probabilities
Rating 2,176 / 1,404 Montevideo Basket Club / Marne
RD 206 / 187 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,764-2,588 / 1,030-1,778 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 Fonbet · no value · model 24.4%
1 1.21 Fonbet · no value · model 75.6%
Total
Over 163.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 163.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0%
1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2% — 1.88 53.2%
— — 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 163.5 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 163.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6% 1.19 84.0%
3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.22 23.7%
Match center
Montevideo Basket Club
W W W W W
29.07 00:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Montevideo Basket Club 87:75 StokolmoStokolmo
25.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Montevideo Basket Club 102:67 Marne
20.07 22:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Montevideo Basket Club 99:74 KolonKolon
16.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Montevideo Basket Club 85:70 Deportivo Albatros
13.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Montevideo Basket Club 103:85 Larre BorzhesLarre Borzhes
5 Wins
0 Losses
95.2 Scored
74.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Marne
L L L L W
29.07 00:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Marne 70:82 LagomarLagomar
25.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Marne 67:102 Montevideo BKMontevideo BK
20.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Marne 74:83 Urupan De Pando
17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Marne 73:77 SayagoSayago
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Marne 74:73 Truvill
1 Wins
4 Losses
71.6 Scored
83.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMontevideo Basket Club - Marne

Montevideo Basket Club
1 matches total
Marne
Montevideo Basket Club: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Marne: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Montevideo BK 102:67 (25.07 23:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 169 goals (102:67, 25.07 23:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

25.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Montevideo BK
102:67
Marne