Liga de Assenso
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Stockolmo — 56%
Pure model vs market (2 · Stockolmo): model 47% · market 55% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Montevideo Basket Club 43.6%, win Stockolmo 56.4%. Model favourite — Stockolmo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.92 52.1% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.78 56.2% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.81 55.3% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| — | 1.86 53.8% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 155.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 156.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 157.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 160.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 155.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 156.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 157.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| 1.66 60.2% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.69 59.2% |
Montevideo Basket Club
Kolon
Larre Borzhes
Lagomar
Stockolmo
Sayago
Olivol Mundial
Olimpiya
Full head-to-head historyMontevideo Basket Club - Stockolmo
The Montevideo Basket Club - Stockolmo breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
