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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
31.07.2026 23:15 UTC
31.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Not started

Liga de Assenso

Olimpia - Lagomar

International Basketball
Olimpia
Olimpia
- : -
Not started
Lagomar
Lagomar
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Olimpia — 75%

Pure model vs market (1 · Olimpia): model 62% · market 76% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Olimpia ✓ Pick75.5%
market76%
2 · Lagomar24.5%
market24%

Model estimate: win Olimpia 75.5%, win Lagomar 24.5%. Model favourite — Olimpia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Olimpia - Lagomar July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Olimpia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.21 / 2 3.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 ✓ Pick 76.3%
2 23.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.21 → 1.21
Pobeditel P2 3.90 → 3.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Olimpia
9-1WWWLWWWWWW
points for 86.6points against 65.1
Lagomar

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 22%
Score81:72 Total points: Under 155.5 Bet:Handicap 1 (-8.5)
Per AI data Form:W-L-W-L-W / W-W-L-W-L
AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 78% 22% 81:72 Under 155.5 Handicap 1 (-8.5)

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Olimpia 78%
📐 Math model Olimpia 75%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Olimpia - Lagomar

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Olimpia 76.5% 75.5% market and model agree
Lagomar 23.5% 24.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 75.5% / 24.5% probabilities
Rating 2,073 / 1,699 Olimpia / Lagomar
RD 154 / 170 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,765-2,381 / 1,359-2,040 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 Fonbet · no value · model 24.5%
1 1.21 Fonbet · no value · model 75.5%
Total
Over 153.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 154 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
1.83 54.6% — 1.86 53.8%
— 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
Over 153.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% —
Over 154 — — 1.83 54.6%
Under 153.5 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2% —
Under 154 — — 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8%
3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.28 23.4%
Match center
Olimpia
W W W W L
27.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olimpia 89:78 SayagoSayago
24.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olimpia 93:81 Truvill
21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olimpia 61:58 Olivol MundialOlivol Mundial
17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olimpia 69:59 VerdirroyoVerdirroyo
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olimpia 66:68 TabareTabare
4 Wins
1 Losses
75.6 Scored
68.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Lagomar
W W W W L
29.07 00:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 82:70 Marne
25.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 71:61 Urupan De Pando
23.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 89:80 KolonKolon
20.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 93:82 Deportivo Albatros
16.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 63:77 Larre BorzhesLarre Borzhes
4 Wins
1 Losses
79.6 Scored
74.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOlimpia - Lagomar

Olimpia
0 matches total
Lagomar
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history