Liga de Assenso
Olimpia - Tabare
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Olimpia — 65%
Pure model vs market (1 · Olimpia): model 59% · market 23% Δ +36 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Olimpia 64.5%, win Tabare 35.5%. Model favourite — Olimpia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Олимпия: форма ВПВПВ (3-2)
- • Табаре: форма ВВВПП (3-2)
- • линия на пик П1 1.50→1.42 (укоротилась — деньги на пик)
- • Модель ставит на Олимпия: вероятность 65% против 71% по линии (кэф 1.42)
- ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-6 пп) — прогноз информационный
- • Тотал: ТБ 159.5: модель ждёт суммарно ~160 очк
- • при линии 159.5 (кэф 1.82)
- • Фора Ф2 +4.5: прогноз счёта 82:78 (разница +4) покрывает линию (кэф 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Olimpia - Tabare 15 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tabare.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.00 / 2 1.19
- Glicko: Olimpia 64.5% / Tabare 35.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
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Olimpia - Tabare
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -4.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| П1 -5.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| П2 +1.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +2.5 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 -1.5 | — | — | 1.68 59.5% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 -5.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 -6.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -7.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| П2 -8.5 | — | — | 1.48 67.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 126.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 128.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 129.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 130.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 131.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 132.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 159.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| ТБ 161.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| ТБ 163.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| ТМ 159.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| ТМ 161.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| ТМ 163.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.42 70.4% | 1.43 69.9% | 4.00 25.0% | 1.40 71.4% |
| П2 | 2.60 38.5% | 2.60 38.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 2.74 36.5% |
Olimpia
Stokolmo
Tabare
Verdirroyo
Full head-to-head historyOlimpia - Tabare