Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
15.07.2026 02:15 MSK
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Olimpia - Tabare

International Basketball
Olimpia
Olimpia
66 : 68
Finished
Tabare
Tabare
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Olimpia65%

Pure model vs market (1 · Olimpia): model 59% · market 23% Δ +36 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Olimpia ✓ Прогноз64.5%
market23%
2 · Tabare35.5%
market77%

Model estimate: win Olimpia 64.5%, win Tabare 35.5%. Model favourite — Olimpia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Olimpia (odds2.06) Score 82:78 confidence 56% ✗ outcome missed
  • Олимпия: форма ВПВПВ (3-2)
  • Табаре: форма ВВВПП (3-2)
  • линия на пик П1 1.50→1.42 (укоротилась — деньги на пик)
  • Модель ставит на Олимпия: вероятность 65% против 71% по линии (кэф 1.42)
  • перевеса над линией нет (-6 пп) — прогноз информационный
  • Тотал: ТБ 159.5: модель ждёт суммарно ~160 очк
  • при линии 159.5 (кэф 1.82)
  • Фора Ф2 +4.5: прогноз счёта 82:78 (разница +4) покрывает линию (кэф 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Olimpia - Tabare 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tabare.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tabare. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.00 / 2 1.19
  • Glicko: Olimpia 64.5% / Tabare 35.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 ✓ Прогноз 22.9%
2 77.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.50 ↓ 1.42
Победитель П2 2.42 ↑ 2.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Olimpia
#2GP 87-1PPG 90.2OPP 79.2
Tabare
#3GP 86-2PPG 84.8OPP 74.6

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins3
77.0Points on average79.0

Head-to-head matches: 5 · average total 156.0 (points)

Team form

Olimpia
9-1WWWLWWWWWW
points for 86.6points against 65.1
Tabare

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 02:15 MSK
Form 6 matches
Match center

Olimpia - Tabare

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 66:68
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Olimpia 64.9% 64.5% market and model agree
Tabare 35.1% 35.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 64.5% / 35.5% probabilities
Rating 1,887 / 1,543 Olimpia / Tabare
RD 165 / 204 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,556-2,218 / 1,136-1,951 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 35.5%
1 4.00 Fonbet · weak value +158.0% · model 64.5%
Total
Over 126.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Over 128.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -4.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
П1 -5.5 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8%
П2 +1.5 1.82 55.0%
П2 +2.5 1.88 53.2%
П2 +4.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
П2 +5.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%
П2 -1.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -2.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -3.5 1.40 71.4%
П2 -4.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -5.5 1.45 69.0%
П2 -6.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -7.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 -8.5 1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 126.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 128.5 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 129.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 130.5 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 131.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 132.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 159.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 161.5 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 163.5 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8%
ТМ 159.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 161.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 163.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9% 4.00 25.0% 1.40 71.4%
П2 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 1.19 84.0% 2.74 36.5%
Match center
Olimpia
W
10.07 02:15 МСК Liga de Assenso
Olimpia 84:72 StokolmoStokolmo
1 Wins
0 Losses
84.0 Scored
72.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Tabare
W
10.07 02:15 МСК Liga de Assenso
Tabare 81:78 VerdirroyoVerdirroyo
1 Wins
0 Losses
81.0 Scored
78.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOlimpia - Tabare

Olimpia
0 matches total
Tabare
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history