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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
03.08.2026 23:15 UTC
03.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Not started

Liga de Assenso

International

Sayago - Stockolmo

International Basketball
Sayago
Sayago
- : -
Not started
Stockolmo
Stockolmo

Sayago go head-to-head with Stockolmo on August 3, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sayago 2-0-3, Stockolmo 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sayago — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sayago): model 45% · market 55% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sayago54.6%
2 · Stockolmo45.4%

Model estimate: win Sayago 54.6%, win Stockolmo 45.4%. Model favourite — Sayago.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sayago (odds1.67) Score 81:79 Over 147.5 (odds1.82) Handicap H2 +2.5 (odds1.85) confidence 55%
  • • Sayago: forma PPVPV (2-3)
  • • Stokolmo: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Sayago: probability 55% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 147.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 147.5 (odds 1.82)
  • • Handicap F2 +2.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sayago - Stockolmo August 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sayago. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.67 / 2 2.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 55.3%
2 44.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.67 → 1.67
Pobeditel P2 2.07 → 2.07

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Sayago
#6GP 84-4PPG 79.6OPP 79.2
Stockolmo
#4GP 86-2PPG 80.6OPP 70.6

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 55.3% @ 1.67 / 2 44.7% @ 2.07
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Sayago - Stockolmo

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sayago 55.4% 54.6% market and model agree
Stockolmo 44.7% 45.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 54.6% / 45.4% probabilities
Rating 1,686 / 1,897 Sayago / Stockolmo
RD 162 / 179 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,362-2,010 / 1,539-2,255 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.07 Fonbet · no value · model 45.4%
1 1.67 Fonbet · no value · model 54.6%
Total
Over 147.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 148 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% — 1.87 53.5%
— — 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 147.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% —
Over 148 — — — 1.85 54.1%
Under 147.5 1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2% —
Under 148 — — — 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6%
2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6%
Match center
Sayago
L L W L W
31.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 30:38 Truvill
27.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 78:89 OlimpiyaOlimpiya
24.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 91:86 TabareTabare
21.07 00:30 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 66:72 StokolmoStokolmo
17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 77:73 Marne
2 Wins
3 Losses
68.4 Scored
71.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Stockolmo
L W W L W
29.07 00:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 75:87 Montevideo BKMontevideo BK
23.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 66:55 Urupan De Pando
21.07 00:30 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 72:66 SayagoSayago
18.07 00:40 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 50:54 Truvill
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 72:54 Olivol MundialOlivol Mundial
3 Wins
2 Losses
67.0 Scored
63.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySayago - Stockolmo

Sayago
1 matches total
Stockolmo
Sayago: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Stockolmo: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Stokolmo 66:72 (21.07 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 138 goals (66:72, 21.07 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

21.07 00:30 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago
66:72
Stokolmo