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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
31.07.2026 23:15 UTC
31.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Not started

Liga de Assenso

Stockolmo - Urupan De Pando

International Basketball
Stockolmo
Stockolmo
- : -
Not started
Urupan De Pando
Urupan De Pando
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Stockolmo — 62%

Pure model vs market (1 · Stockolmo): model 61% · market 62% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Stockolmo ✓ Pick61.7%
market62%
2 · Urupan De Pando38.3%
market38%

Model estimate: win Stockolmo 61.7%, win Urupan De Pando 38.3%. Model favourite — Stockolmo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Stockolmo (odds1.50) Score 82:78 Over 149.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +4.5 (odds1.85) confidence 62%
  • • Stokolmo: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Urupan De Pando: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Stokolmo: probability 62% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 149.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 149.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +4.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stockolmo - Urupan De Pando July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Stockolmo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 61.7%
2 38.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.50 → 1.50
Pobeditel P2 2.42 → 2.42

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Stockolmo - Urupan De Pando

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Stockolmo 61.7% 61.7% market and model agree
Urupan De Pando 38.3% 38.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 61.7% / 38.3% probabilities
Rating 1,897 / 1,579 Stockolmo / Urupan De Pando
RD 179 / 170 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,539-2,255 / 1,240-1,918 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 Fonbet · no value · model 38.3%
1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 61.7%
Total
Over 149.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 149.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 149.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 149.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.49 67.1% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.42 41.3% 2.42 41.3%
Match center
Stockolmo
L W W L W
29.07 00:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 75:87 Montevideo BKMontevideo BK
23.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 66:55 Urupan De Pando
21.07 00:30 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 72:66 SayagoSayago
18.07 00:40 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 50:54 Truvill
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 72:54 Olivol MundialOlivol Mundial
3 Wins
2 Losses
67.0 Scored
63.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Urupan De Pando
W L L W W
29.07 00:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 100:97 TabareTabare
25.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 61:71 LagomarLagomar
23.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 55:66 StokolmoStokolmo
20.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 83:74 Marne
16.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 87:73 KolonKolon
3 Wins
2 Losses
77.2 Scored
76.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStockolmo - Urupan De Pando

Stockolmo
1 matches total
Urupan De Pando
Stockolmo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Urupan De Pando: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Stokolmo 66:55 (23.07 23:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 121 goals (66:55, 23.07 23:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

23.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stokolmo
66:55
Urupan De Pando