Stockolmo take on Urupan De Pando on August 4, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Stockolmo 3-0-2, Urupan De Pando 3-0-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Stockolmo — 73%
Pure model vs market (1 · Stockolmo): model 61% · market 74%Δ −13 ppmodel estimates below the market
73%1
1 · Stockolmo ✓ Pick73.0%
market74%
2 · Urupan De Pando27.0%
market26%
Model estimate: win Stockolmo 73.0%, win Urupan De Pando 27.0%. Model favourite — Stockolmo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
•Model backs Stokolmo: probability 73% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
•no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
•Total: Over 146.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
•at line 146.5 (odds 1.85)
•Handicap F2 +8.5: score forecast 84:76 (diff +8) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Stockolmo - Urupan De Pando August 4, 2026
Basketball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Stockolmo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / 2 3.55
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
4 books · best price +1.6%
1 ✓ Pick73.9%
226.1%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.25→ 1.25
Winner P23.55→ 3.55
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Start04.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market1 74.0% @ 1.25 / 2 26.0% @ 3.55
Form6 matches
H2H1
Match center
Stockolmo - Urupan De Pando
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Stockolmo73.9%73.0%market and model agree
Urupan De Pando26.1%27.0%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Basketball math model
P1 / P273.0% / 27.0%
probabilities
Rating1,897 / 1,579
Stockolmo / Urupan De Pando
RD179 / 170
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,539-2,255 / 1,239-1,918
strength interval
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
23.55
Fonbet · no value · model 27.0%
11.25
Fonbet · no value · model 73.0%
Total
Over 146.51.85
Fonbet · line only
Under 146.51.85
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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