Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
03.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Not started

Liga de Assenso

International

Tabare - Trouville

International Basketball
Tabare
Tabare
- : -
Not started
Trouville
Trouville

Tabare face Trouville on August 3, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tabare 2-0-3, Trouville 4-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Trouville63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Trouville): model 60% · market 65% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Tabare36.8%
market35%
2 · Trouville ✓ Pick63.2%
market65%

Model estimate: win Tabare 36.8%, win Trouville 63.2%. Model favourite — Trouville.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Trouville (odds1.47) Score 78:82 Over 152.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H1 +4.5 (odds1.90) confidence 63%
  • Tabare: forma VPPPV (2-3)
  • Truvill: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • Model backs Truvill: probability 63% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.47)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Over 152.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 152.5 (odds 1.85)
  • Handicap F1 +4.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tabare - Trouville August 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Trouville. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.65 / 2 1.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 34.9%
2 ✓ Pick 65.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.53 → 2.53
Pobeditel P2 1.46 → 1.46

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 34.9% @ 2.65 / 2 65.1% @ 1.42
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Tabare - Trouville

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tabare 36.6% 36.8%
Trouville 63.4% 63.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 36.8% / 63.2% probabilities
Rating 1,546 / 1,929 Tabare / Trouville
RD 162 / 169 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,222-1,870 / 1,590-2,267 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.42 Fonbet · no value · model 63.2%
1 2.65 Fonbet · no value · model 36.8%
Total
Over 152.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 152.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6%
1.86 53.8%
1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.81 55.3%
1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 152.5 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 152.5 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.50 40.0% 2.65 37.7% 2.78 36.0%
1.47 68.0% 1.42 70.4% 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Tabare
W L L L W
31.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Tabare 29:27 VerdirroyoVerdirroyo
29.07 00:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Tabare 97:100 Urupan De Pando
24.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Tabare 86:91 SayagoSayago
21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Tabare 64:74 Truvill
17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Tabare 74:55 Olivol MundialOlivol Mundial
2 Wins
3 Losses
70.0 Scored
69.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Trouville
W W L W W
31.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Trouville 38:30 SayagoSayago
27.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Trouville 78:70 Olivol MundialOlivol Mundial
24.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Trouville 81:93 OlimpiyaOlimpiya
21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Trouville 74:64 TabareTabare
18.07 00:40 UTC Liga de Assenso
Trouville 54:50 StokolmoStokolmo
4 Wins
1 Losses
65.0 Scored
61.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTabare - Trouville

Tabare
1 matches total
Trouville
Tabare: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Trouville: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Truvill 64:74 (21.07 23:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 138 goals (64:74, 21.07 23:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Tabare
64:74
Truvill