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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Not started

Liga de Assenso

Tabare - Trouville

International Basketball
Tabare
Tabare
- : -
Not started
Trouville
Trouville

Tabare meet Trouville on August 6, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tabare 1-0-4, Trouville 4-0-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Trouville60%

Pure model vs market (2 · Trouville): model 60% · market 60% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Tabare39.6%
market40%
2 · Trouville ✓ Pick60.4%
market60%

Model estimate: win Tabare 39.6%, win Trouville 60.4%. Model favourite — Trouville.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Trouville (odds1.53) Score 78:82 Over 151.5 (odds1.82) Handicap H2 -3.5 (odds1.85) confidence 60%
  • Tabare: forma VPPPV (2-3)
  • Truvill: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • liniya na pik P2 1.57→1.50 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • Model backs Truvill: probability 60% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.53)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Over 151.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 151.5 (odds 1.82)
  • Handicap F2 -3.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tabare - Trouville August 6, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Trouville. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.42 / 2 1.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4% 4 books · best price +2.3%
1 39.6%
2 ✓ Pick 60.4%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.25 ↑ 2.42
Winner P2 1.57 ↓ 1.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 38.3% @ 2.42 / 2 61.7% @ 1.50
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Tabare - Trouville

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tabare 39.5% 39.6%
Trouville 60.5% 60.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 39.6% / 60.4% probabilities
Rating 1,546 / 1,929 Tabare / Trouville
RD 162 / 169 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,222-1,870 / 1,590-2,268 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 60.4%
1 2.42 Fonbet · no value · model 39.6%
Total
Over 151.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 152 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.89 52.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 151.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0%
Over 152 1.83 54.6%
Under 151.5 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%
Under 152 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.42 41.3% 2.41 41.5%
1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Tabare
L L L L W
2026-08-01 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Tabare Verdirrojo 78:72 Tabare
2026-07-29 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Tabare Urupan De Pando 100:97 Tabare
2026-07-24 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Tabare Tabare 86:91 Sayago
2026-07-21 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Tabare Trouville 76:64 Tabare
2026-07-17 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Tabare Tabare 74:58 Olivol Mundial
1 Wins
4 Losses
78.6 Scored
80.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Trouville
W W L W W
2026-07-31 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Trouville 72:64 Sayago Trouville
2026-07-27 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Trouville 87:78 Olivol Mundial Trouville
2026-07-24 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Olimpia 93:81 Trouville Trouville
2026-07-21 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Trouville 76:64 Tabare Trouville
2026-07-18 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Stockolmo 50:54 Trouville Trouville
4 Wins
1 Losses
74.0 Scored
69.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTabare - Trouville

Tabare
2 matches total
Trouville
Tabare: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Trouville: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Trouville 76:64 (2026-07-21) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 140 goals (76:64, 2026-07-21) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-21 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Trouville 76:64 Tabare
21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Tabare
64:74
Truvill