Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
15.07.2026 02:15 MSK
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Trouville - Marne

International Basketball
Trouville
Trouville
73 : 74
Finished
Marne
Marne
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Trouville88%

Pure model vs market (1 · Trouville): model 62% · market 8% Δ +54 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Trouville ✓ Прогноз88.2%
market8%
2 · Marne11.8%
market92%

Model estimate: win Trouville 88.2%, win Marne 11.8%. Model favourite — Trouville.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Trouville (odds1.03) confidence 78% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Trouville - Marne 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marne.

Line favourite Fonbet: Marne. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Trouville 88.2% / Marne 11.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Прогноз 8.4%
2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.03 → 1.03
Победитель П2 9.50 → 9.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 02:15 MSK
Form 6 matches
Match center

Trouville - Marne

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 73:74
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Trouville 90.1% 88.2% market and model agree
Marne 9.9% 11.8%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 88.2% / 11.8% probabilities
Rating 2,147 / 959 Trouville / Marne
RD 222 / 200 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,704-2,591 / 559-1,360 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 11.8%
1 1.02 market consensus · no value · model 88.2%
Total
Over 145.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 146.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -18.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0%
П2 +18.5 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2%
П2 -1.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -10.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -11.5 1.48 67.6%
П2 -12.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -13.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 -14.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -15.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -16.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -17.5 1.82 55.0%
П2 -18.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -19.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -2.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -20.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -3.5 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 145.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 146.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 147.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 148.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 149.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 150.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 151.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 152.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 153.5 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 154.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 159.5 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8%
ТБ 160.5 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3%
ТМ 159.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%
ТМ 160.5 1.87 53.5% 1.89 52.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 11.00 9.1% 1.02 98.0%
П2 10.00 10.0% 9.90 10.1% 1.01 99.0% 9.70 10.3%
Match center
Trouville
W W
11.07 01:15 МСК Liga de Assenso
Trouville 77:64 KolonKolon
08.07 02:15 МСК Liga de Assenso
Trouville 103:67 Deportivo Albatros
2 Wins
0 Losses
90.0 Scored
65.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Marne
W
12.07 02:15 МСК Liga de Assenso
Marne 72:68 Olivol MundialOlivol Mundial
1 Wins
0 Losses
72.0 Scored
68.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTrouville - Marne

Trouville
0 matches total
Marne
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history