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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
04.08.2026 23:15 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Not started

Liga de Assenso

Urupan De Pando - Lagomar

International Basketball
Urupan De Pando
Urupan De Pando
- : -
Not started
Lagomar
Lagomar

Urupan De Pando face Lagomar on August 4, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Urupan De Pando 3-0-2, Lagomar 4-0-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Urupan De Pando — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Urupan De Pando): model 49% · market 57% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Urupan De Pando56.5%
2 · Lagomar43.5%

Model estimate: win Urupan De Pando 56.5%, win Lagomar 43.5%. Model favourite — Urupan De Pando.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Lagomar (odds2.15) Score 79:81 Over 154.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +3.5 (odds1.80) confidence 51%
  • • Urupan De Pando: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • Lagomar: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Lagomar: probability 51% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.15)
  • • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
  • • Total: Over 154.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 154.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +3.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Urupan De Pando - Lagomar August 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Urupan De Pando. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.62 / 2 2.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4% 2 books
1 57.1%
2 42.9%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.62 → 1.62
Winner P2 2.15 → 2.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 57.0% @ 1.62 / 2 43.0% @ 2.15
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Urupan De Pando - Lagomar

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Urupan De Pando 57.1% 56.5% market and model agree
Lagomar 42.9% 43.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 56.5% / 43.5% probabilities
Rating 1,579 / 1,675 Urupan De Pando / Lagomar
RD 170 / 165 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,239-1,918 / 1,344-2,006 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.15 Fonbet · no value · model 43.5%
1 1.62 Fonbet · no value · model 56.5%
Total
Over 154.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 154.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9% —
— 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 154.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Under 154.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7%
2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5%
Match center
Urupan De Pando
W L L W W
2026-07-29 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Urupan De Pando Urupan De Pando 100:97 Tabare
2026-07-25 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Urupan De Pando Urupan De Pando 61:71 Lagomar
2026-07-23 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Urupan De Pando Stockolmo 66:55 Urupan De Pando
2026-07-20 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Urupan De Pando Urupan De Pando 83:74 Marne
2026-07-16 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Urupan De Pando Colon 76:91 Urupan De Pando
3 Wins
2 Losses
78.0 Scored
76.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Lagomar
L W W W W
2026-07-31 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Olimpia 84:69 Lagomar Lagomar
2026-07-29 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Lagomar 82:70 Marne Lagomar
2026-07-25 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Urupan De Pando 61:71 Lagomar Lagomar
2026-07-23 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Colon 80:89 Lagomar Lagomar
2026-07-20 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Lagomar 94:85 Deportivo Albatros Lagomar
4 Wins
1 Losses
81.0 Scored
76.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUrupan De Pando - Lagomar

Urupan De Pando
2 matches total
Lagomar
Urupan De Pando: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lagomar: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Lagomar 61:71 (2026-07-25) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 132 goals (61:71, 2026-07-25) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-25 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Urupan De Pando 61:71 Lagomar
25.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando
61:71
Lagomar