Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando - Tabare
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Tabare — 65%
Pure model vs market (2 · Tabare): model 51% · market 65% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Urupan De Pando 35.3%, win Tabare 64.7%. Model favourite — Tabare.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Urupan De Pando: forma PPVVV (3-2)
- • Tabare: forma PPVVV (3-2)
- • Model backs Tabare: probability 67% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.35)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Over 152.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 152.5 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F1 +6.5: score forecast 77:83 (diff -6) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Urupan De Pando - Tabare July 29, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.65 / 2 1.42
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Urupan De Pando - Tabare
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.81 55.3% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| Over 152.5 | 1.81 55.3% |
| Over 158.5 | 1.84 54.4% |
| Over 159.5 | 1.81 55.3% |
| Over 160.5 | 1.84 54.4% |
| Over 161.5 | 1.84 54.4% |
| Over 162.5 | 1.84 54.4% |
| Over 163.5 | 1.81 55.3% |
| Over 170.5 | 1.84 54.4% |
| Over 173.5 | 1.84 54.4% |
| Under 152.5 | 1.86 53.8% |
| Under 158.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 159.5 | 1.86 53.8% |
| Under 160.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 161.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 162.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 163.5 | 1.86 53.8% |
| Under 170.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 173.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.63 38.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.84 35.2% | |
| 1.41 70.9% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.37 73.0% |
Urupan De Pando
Lagomar
Stokolmo
Kolon
Tabare
Sayago
Olivol Mundial
Olimpiya
Verdirroyo
Full head-to-head historyUrupan De Pando - Tabare
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form