What does PropickAI predict for Verdirrojo vs Lagomar?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Verdirrojo. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Verdirrojo vs Lagomar?

Live odds for Verdirrojo vs Lagomar from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Verdirrojo win probability ~62% confidence High best odds 1.50

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Verdirrojo. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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League de Assenso International

03.09.2026 23:15 UTC

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

03.09.2026 23:15 UTC

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League de Assenso

Verdirrojo vs Lagomar — Basketball prediction

International Basketball

Verdirrojo

- : -

Not started

Lagomar

Verdirrojo face Lagomar in basketball, in League de Assenso, on 3 September 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Verdirrojo as the favourite at around 62%. The bookmaker consensus (5 books) implies about 62% for the same outcome.

Recent form reads: Verdirrojo have 3 won and 2 lost of their last 5; Lagomar have 3 won and 2 lost of 5. On the Glicko scale it is 1796 for Verdirrojo against 1801 for Lagomar - a gap of 5 points. Across 2 recent head-to-head meetings between them, the full record is shown below on this page.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 5 Glicko rating points, the model's 62% for Verdirrojo. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Verdirrojo — 62%

1 · Verdirrojo ✓ Pick61.8%

market 63%

2 · Lagomar38.2%

market 38%

Model estimate: win Verdirrojo 61.8%, win Lagomar 38.2%. Model favourite — Verdirrojo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Verdirrojo - Lagomar September 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Verdirrojo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 5 books · best price +1.4%

1 ✓ Pick 62.5%

2 37.5%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner P1 1.50 → 1.50

Winner P2 2.42 → 2.42

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Verdirrojo

63%

1.50

Lagomar

37%

2.58

Total

Over 152.5

50%

1.87

Under 152.5

50%

1.87

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated02.09.2026 17:49 UTC

1 64% ✓ favourite

2 36%

Score75:68 Total points: Under 145.5 Bet:AH1 (-3.5)

Per AI data H2H: 1-1 (74:65, 57:73)

AI	1	2	Score	Total points	Bet
Google AI	64%	36%	75:68	Under 145.5	AH1 (-3.5)

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Match center

Start 03.09.2026 23:15 UTC

Market 1 61.7% @ 1.50 / 2 38.3% @ 2.42

Form 6 matches

H2H 2

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Verdirrojo 64%

📐 Math model Verdirrojo 62%

💹 Market Verdirrojo 63%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Verdirrojo - Lagomar

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Verdirrojo 62.5% 61.8% market and model agree

Lagomar 37.5% 38.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 61.8% / 38.2% probabilities

Rating 1,796 / 1,801 Verdirrojo / Lagomar

RD 136 / 126 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,523-2,068 / 1,549-2,052 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.42 Fonbet · no value · model 38.2%

1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 61.8%

Total

Over 147.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Over 148.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon	Pinnacle
—	—	1.67 59.9%	—	—
—	—	1.75 57.1%	—	—
1.83 54.6%	1.84 54.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.84 54.4%	1.86 53.7%
—	—	1.96 51.0%	—	—
—	—	2.07 48.3%	—	—
1.84 54.4%	1.86 53.8%	—	1.86 53.8%	—
—	—	2.07 48.3%	—	—
—	—	1.96 51.0%	—	—
—	—	1.85 54.1%	—	—
—	—	1.75 57.1%	—	—
—	—	1.67 59.9%	—	—
—	—	—	—	1.88 53.3%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 147.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%
Over 148.5	—	—	1.75 57.1%
Over 149.5	1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%	1.70 58.8%
Over 150.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%
Over 151.5	—	—	1.77 56.5%
Over 152.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
Over 153.5	1.86 53.8%	1.88 53.2%	1.94 51.6%
Over 154.5	—	—	2.03 49.3%
Under 147.5	—	—	2.03 49.3%
Under 148.5	—	—	1.96 51.0%
Under 149.5	1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%	—
Under 153.5	1.81 55.3%	1.82 55.0%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon	Pinnacle
	1.47 68.0%	1.48 67.6%	1.50 66.7%	1.48 67.6%	1.45 69.0%
	2.45 40.8%	2.45 40.8%	2.42 41.3%	2.49 40.2%	2.58 38.8%

Match center

Verdirrojo

L L L W W

2026-08-26 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Verdirrojo Sayago 80:53 Verdirrojo

2026-08-21 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Verdirrojo Verdirrojo 76:77 Urupan De Pando

2026-08-17 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Verdirrojo Lagomar 73:57 Verdirrojo

2026-08-14 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Verdirrojo Verdirrojo 77:68 Stockolmo

2026-08-10 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Verdirrojo Trouville 69:72 Verdirrojo

2 Wins

3 Losses

67.0 Scored

73.4 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Lagomar

L W W W W

2026-08-20 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Trouville 83:80 Lagomar Lagomar

2026-08-17 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Lagomar 73:57 Verdirrojo Lagomar

2026-08-14 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Tabare 61:67 Lagomar Lagomar

2026-08-11 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Lagomar 78:68 Sayago Lagomar

2026-08-07 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Urupan De Pando 80:87 Lagomar Lagomar

4 Wins

1 Losses

77.0 Scored

69.8 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Verdirrojo - Lagomar

Verdirrojo

3 matches total

Lagomar

Verdirrojo: 0 (0%)

Lagomar: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Lagomar 73:57 (2026-08-17) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 139 points (74:65, 14.07 23:15 UTC) most points in a game

Match history

2026-08-17 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Lagomar 73:57 Verdirrojo

17.08 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Verdirroyo

54:53

Lagomar

14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Verdirroyo

74:65

Lagomar

Verdirrojo vs Lagomar — Basketball prediction

AI match prediction Verdirrojo - Lagomar September 3, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

AI predictions

Unlock the full AI analysis

Verdirrojo - Lagomar

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions