Verdirrojo meet Olimpia on August 4, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Verdirrojo 4-0-1, Olimpia 5-0-0. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Olimpia — 56%
Pure model vs market (2 · Olimpia): model 64% · market 55%Δ +9 ppmodel estimates above the market
56%2
1 · Verdirrojo44.1%
2 · Olimpia ✓ Pick55.9%
Model estimate: win Verdirrojo 44.1%, win Olimpia 55.9%. Model favourite — Olimpia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
•Model backs Olimpiya: probability 64% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
•edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
•Total: Over 152.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
•at line 152.5 (odds 1.85)
•Handicap F2 -2.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Verdirrojo - Olimpia August 4, 2026
Basketball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Olimpia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.07 / 2 1.67
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
3 books
144.7%
2 ✓ Pick55.4%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P12.15↓ 2.07
Winner P21.62↑ 1.67
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Verdirrojo
no data
Olimpia
9-1WWWLWWWWWW
points for 86.6points against 65.1
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Match center
Start04.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market1 44.7% @ 2.07 / 2 55.3% @ 1.67
Form6 matches
H2H1
Match center
Verdirrojo - Olimpia
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Verdirrojo44.7%44.1%
Olimpia55.4%55.9%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Basketball math model
P1 / P244.1% / 55.9%
probabilities
Rating1,415 / 2,094
Verdirrojo / Olimpia
RD172 / 151
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,071-1,758 / 1,793-2,395
strength interval
Best value:
P2 | odds 1.67 | edge 8.2% | ROI 6.6% | BetBoom
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.67
Fonbet · no value · model 55.9%
12.07
Fonbet · no value · model 44.1%
Total
Over 152.51.85
Fonbet · line only
Under 152.51.85
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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